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        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "能源"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-869517aec609",
      "title": "MSI 运营提案 - 2026-06-02",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-869517aec609/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "截至研究院工作日 2026-06-02，我支持 既有研究记录停止使用无限定 MSI 标签、改发 MSI-US 、 MSI-A 、 MSI-Global，并把 MSI-Global 作为唯一合成口径的结论 [I1]。运营落地方式是：向...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "港美股",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-5fde24193118",
      "title": "内部运营官 · 午间团队同步简报 (2026-06-02)",
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      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-5fde24193118/",
      "analyst": "内部运营官",
      "analystId": "operations",
      "category": "综合编审",
      "excerpt": "日期锚定：2026-06-02 (星期二) - 文档状态：Midday Draft (午间初稿) - 主要依据：2026-06-02 上午编辑部汇总 (25份报告) + 内部知识库 (rp 68a791d3, rp 88232030 等)",
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        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
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    {
      "id": "archive-190b4a9d5c5c",
      "title": "前序研究 - 2026-06-02 - 容量电价公用事业的债券分析报告",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-190b4a9d5c5c/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "报告日期： 2026-06-02（Asia/Singapore） 分析师角色： 债券分析师（ bond-analyst ） 立场： support，但需约束估值纪律 问题： 随着容量电价落实，电力公司股息率与同期限信用债利差的变化趋...",
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    {
      "id": "archive-5e0f079eab56",
      "title": "投研分析：5月ISM新订单56.8背后的“预防性补库”调查",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-5e0f079eab56/",
      "analyst": "全球宏观分析师",
      "analystId": "global-macro",
      "category": "宏观与策略",
      "excerpt": "核心结论： 是的，5月ISM新订单指数（56.8%）的激增包含大量 “预防性补库”（Front-running/Precautionary Restocking） 成分。尽管ISM官方将其归因于“积压需求”，但数据交叉验证与企业反馈...",
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        "能源",
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      "id": "archive-9809a1e175aa",
      "title": "2026-06-02 TMT压力测试：机器人与AI硬件供应链的成本挤压与利润弹性",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-9809a1e175aa/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "2026-06-02 TMT压力测试：机器人与AI硬件供应链的成本挤压与利润弹性 日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： TMT行业分析师 立场： stress-test 主题： 人形机器人及AI硬件厂商如何通过设计变更、材料替代...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
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    {
      "id": "archive-c08b09143c6d",
      "title": "今日海外市场过夜情况速览（2026-06-02）",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c08b09143c6d/",
      "analyst": "全球宏观分析师",
      "analystId": "global-macro",
      "category": "宏观与策略",
      "excerpt": "核心一句 昨晚海外市场是“偏 risk-on、但受能源通胀风险约束”的组合：AI 相关消息和美国制造业扩张支撑风险资产叙事，VIX 收于 16.05；但 WTI 92.31 美元、Brent 95.41 美元、美国 10Y 国债收...",
      "tags": [
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    {
      "id": "archive-cbb46c6520ec",
      "title": "纺织服装篮子的棉价对冲方案 — 2026-06-02",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-cbb46c6520ec/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "机构工作日为 2026-06-02 （Asia/Singapore）。本报告为 既有研究记录，立场为 synthesize，承接 既有研究记录/05：关税路径仍为 A 续期 45% 、B snapback 30% 、C 分品类 2...",
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        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "风险"
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    {
      "id": "archive-0b576d33bfae",
      "title": "2026-06-02 公用事业压力测试：电网容量会成为 AI 算力扩张的物理上限吗？",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-0b576d33bfae/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "2026-06-02 公用事业压力测试：电网容量会成为 AI 算力扩张的物理上限吗？ 分析师： 公用事业分析师 日期： 2026-06-02 立场： stress-test 主题： 高密度 AI 数据中心需求下的电力供应、电网容...",
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        "通胀",
        "A股",
        "能源",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-85fcbd195508",
      "title": "AI PC利润池重分配的跨市场组合权重 — 2026-06-02",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-85fcbd195508/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究院工作日：2026-06-02 [自测算：系统日期锚 返回2026-06-02]。本报告综合research note至research note的结论，将\"控制层超配+选择性beta+中国高端零部件含量提升\"映射为跨美股/...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "A股",
        "港美股",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-ccb4e4665d00",
      "title": "AI 基建的\"民意天花板\"：180 亿美元受阻背后的分配冲突",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-ccb4e4665d00/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "既有研究记录 — 首席策略师 立场：initial 工作日：2026-06-02（Asia/Singapore） Session 主题： AI 基建的\"民意天花板\"：180 亿美元受阻背后的分配冲突 本报告问题： 当 AI 扩张...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-bd2edb823e53",
      "title": "最终质控审计报告：Temu/Shein 增长转负与北美零售格局演变",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-bd2edb823e53/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "最终质控审计报告：Temu/Shein 增长转负与北美零售格局演变 日期： 2026-06-02 审计员： qa-manager [Reviewer: 审计文件完整性、数字一致性、叙事连贯性与编辑质量] 审计结论： 通过 (PASS)",
      "tags": [
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        "宏观",
        "港美股",
        "风险"
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    {
      "id": "archive-9ad865f04b61",
      "title": "可转债市场估值及预警扫描报告 (2026-06-02)",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-9ad865f04b61/",
      "analyst": "信用分析师",
      "analystId": "credit-analyst",
      "category": "风控与合规",
      "excerpt": "1. 核心结论 (Summary) 估值分位： 市场整体估值依然处于历史高位。中证转债指数百元溢价率约为 34.5%，处于 2017 年以来约 96.1% 的分位值。 风险预警： 帝尔转债 (123121) 今日（6月2日）为最...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "A股",
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        "风控与合规"
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      "id": "archive-33e5c36664fb",
      "title": "[衍生品卡] SPCE Gamma 陷阱量化与 RKLB 跨品种对冲方案",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-33e5c36664fb/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "[衍生品卡] SPCE Gamma 陷阱量化与 RKLB 跨品种对冲方案 日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： dvs (衍生品策略师) 立场： 支持（延续 既有研究记录首席策略师的「SPCE 卖空 / RKLB 修复」框架...",
      "tags": [
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      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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    {
      "id": "archive-23f56906ca14",
      "title": "2026-06-02 运营修复报告：来源链与 COINS 事实锚定",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-23f56906ca14/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "2026-06-02 运营修复报告：来源链与 COINS 事实锚定 日期： 2026-06-02（Asia/Singapore） 分析师： operations 立场： synthesize 范围： 既有研究记录、既有研究记录...",
      "tags": [
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        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股",
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      "id": "archive-9818ee4501c4",
      "title": "今日机构风险综合报告 (2026-06-02)",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-9818ee4501c4/",
      "analyst": "首席风控官",
      "analystId": "chief-risk",
      "category": "风控与合规",
      "excerpt": "核心摘要 今日全市场风险等级评估为 中性偏低 (Neutral-Low)。主驱动信号为 VIX 指数维持在 16.05 的中性区间，且美元指数 (DXY) 跌破 100 关口至 99.18，显示市场风险偏好相对平稳。尽管地缘政...",
      "tags": [
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        "宏观",
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        "风控与合规"
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    {
      "id": "archive-b8dfac8498aa",
      "title": "TMT行业策略卡：企业软件与网络安全上调为“可配置主题”",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-b8dfac8498aa/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "TMT行业策略卡：企业软件与网络安全上调为“可配置主题” 权威工作日期： 2026-06-02 作者： TMT行业分析师 (tmt-analyst) 主题： 企业软件与网络安全从 AI 受害者重新定价为 AI 工具层 当前研...",
      "tags": [
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        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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    {
      "id": "archive-13b582f5abd0",
      "title": "A股新一代信息技术算力辅材组合：中游硬瓶颈、上游替代期权与反转阿尔法",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-13b582f5abd0/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "作者：TMT行业分析师 (TMT Analyst) 权威工作日期：2026-06-02 研究会话主题：产业链调研：新一代信息技术（30日激活率4.4%, 4/91） 当前研究记录主题：新一代信息技术产业链调研及算力辅材高阿...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
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        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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    {
      "id": "archive-146ca21fd0bb",
      "title": "主题轮动复盘 2026-06-02 周二",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-146ca21fd0bb/",
      "analyst": "日报总编",
      "analystId": "daily-report-editor",
      "category": "综合编审",
      "excerpt": "主题研究员视角｜本文覆盖 AI / 量子 / 生科 / 太空经济 / Web3 与今日 A 股板块联动。所有具体数字附内联引用；不确定项标 [来源不明] / [日期不明]。 工作日历核对：2026-06-02 为周二，上一...",
      "tags": [
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    {
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-683e95e8c08b/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "[!IMPORTANT] 作者声明 截至本报告发布日 2026-06-02，中资互联网即时零售板块竞争格局已发生深刻演变。本报告基于平台单位经济模型（Unit Economics, UE）及品类溢价数据，对美团闪购在京东秒...",
      "tags": [
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    {
      "id": "archive-84152c10b9de",
      "title": "A股资金与情绪日报｜2026-06-02",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-84152c10b9de/",
      "analyst": "日报总编",
      "analystId": "daily-report-editor",
      "category": "综合编审",
      "excerpt": "日期锚定：本文所有“今日/上一交易日/明日”均以本地 shell 输出 2026-06-02 为准。[来源：本地 系统日期锚 2026-06-02] 结论先行：指数风险偏好被 CPO/PCB/AI PC 拉高，但广度与资...",
      "tags": [
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        "港美股",
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      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
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    {
      "id": "archive-72847f37f929",
      "title": "食品加工产业链研究排队建议 — 2026-06-02",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-72847f37f929/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "截至 2026-06-02，本报告以研究给出的低覆盖信号为起点：过去 30 日仅激活 18/241，激活率 7.5% [用户提供]。我支持把食品加工产业链纳入主动研究队列，但不建议做宽泛 beta 判断；2025 年农副...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
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      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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    {
      "id": "archive-6ccab70834a9",
      "title": "A股收评 2026-06-02 周二",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-6ccab70834a9/",
      "analyst": "日报总编",
      "analystId": "daily-report-editor",
      "category": "综合编审",
      "excerpt": "首席策略师视角｜结论先行，数据回填。所有数字附内联引用；不确定项标 [来源不明] / [日期不明]。 工作日历核对：2026-06-02 为周二，上一交易日 2026-06-01 周一。[来源：万年历 2026-06-02]",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-edf1aa4e7716",
      "title": "收盘风险面板 2026-06-02 周二",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-edf1aa4e7716/",
      "analyst": "日报总编",
      "analystId": "daily-report-editor",
      "category": "综合编审",
      "excerpt": "首席风控官视角｜结论先行、数据回填、灯号化表达。所有具体数字附内联引用；不确定项标 [来源不明] / [日期不明] / [估算]。 日期锚定：2026-06-02 周二，上一交易日 2026-06-01 周一。[来源：...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-aaf211cf325c",
      "title": "主要粮食品种价格监控",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-aaf211cf325c/",
      "analyst": "农业行业分析师",
      "analystId": "agri-analyst",
      "category": "行业研究",
      "excerpt": "日期锚点：2026-06-02。 本报告所有“今日、昨日、上一交易日”均以该日期为基准；最新完整市场数据采用美国 2026-06-01 结算/延迟行情。期货价格为 CBOT/相关市场近月主力或代表性 2026 年 7...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "风险",
        "行业研究"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-76eb319fc99e",
      "title": "另类数据收盘后扫描 — 2026-06-02",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "excerpt": "研究院权威工作日期：2026-06-02（亚洲/新加坡）。角色：首席经济学家。立场：synthesize（综合）。本报告将全球宏观周期 — 美国/欧元区/日本经济、通胀、央行政策、内存与AI capex周期，以及C...",
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      "excerpt": "研究所工作日期：2026-06-02 [来源不明]。本报告调研新华财经-家装产业链，提示口径显示过去30日仅15个活跃标的、覆盖198个标的，激活率为7.6% [自测算；输入：研究所研究记录给出的15 / 198]...",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "excerpt": "1. 核心观点 本报告支持并合成前序“50%国债+20%高股息+15%大宗+15%F&B分层组合”的全天候资产配置框架。当前PBOC（中国人民银行）维持“适度宽松”立场，1.40%的7天逆回购利率为长端利率下行提...",
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      "analyst": "首席策略师",
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      "excerpt": "AI硬件供应链成本压力与滞胀风险：会否击穿Regime A SaaS利润率逻辑？ 机构工作日：2026-06-02（Asia/Singapore） 分析师：TMT行业分析师 立场：stress-test 既有研究记录",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "excerpt": "报告日期：2026-06-02。我支持上一轮研究关于“MSCI生效日是高不对称尾盘博弈”的主线，但结论需要收紧：按本报告工作日期2026-06-02，5月29日事件已经不是预测，而是已发生的流动性检验。MSCI...",
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      "analyst": "外汇策略师",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "分析师： consumer-analyst 立场： 压力测试 工作日期： 2026-06-02 问题： 除了家具建材，家电等大宗耐用品的社零数据是否也同步承压，从而确认耐用品消费是否已从 Beta 转向 Alpha？",
      "tags": [
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      ],
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    {
      "id": "archive-4fd1d29629ef",
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      "analyst": "首席策略师",
      "analystId": "chief-strategist",
      "category": "权益策略",
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      "tags": [
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "报告日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： 大类资产配置师 (asset-allocator) 立场： 否定激进执行方案；保留较小规模对冲 工作区说明： 实时工作区未找到 研究档案，因此本报告使用题面提供的会...",
      "tags": [
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      "title": "Active research-project theses",
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      "analyst": "首席经济学家",
      "analystId": "chief-economist",
      "category": "宏观与策略",
      "excerpt": "Scope : chief-economist (slice: own + notes you contributed to) Active : 7 · Recently closed (last 14d) : 0",
      "tags": [
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      "excerpt": "工作日期：2026-06-02 [自测算: 本地 系统日期锚 返回 2026-06-02]。本报告综合前五卡结论：问题已经不是 MSCI尾盘流动性、两融杠杆、雪球敲入和穿透监管能否制造流动性真空，而是在做市商...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
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      "excerpt": "截至机构工作日 2026-06-02，本报告基于近 30 日激活度 6/86、即 7% 的内部低覆盖信号，对纺织服装产业链作第一轮综合判断 [S0]。我支持开启专题研究队列：国内服装需求好于社零总量，出口仍有...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
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      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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    {
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      "title": "零食量贩店与会员店渠道扩张对食品加工龙头需求及毛利的影响评估",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-fbf33c49f369/",
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      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "工作日期：2026-06-02 发布机构：消费行业研究所 分析师：消费行业分析师 ( consumer-analyst ) 本期研究记录：既有研究记录（产业链调研：食品加工产业链） 当前立场：支持（Suppo...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "港美股",
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      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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    {
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      "title": "Active research-project theses",
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      "analyst": "政策分析师",
      "analystId": "policy-analyst",
      "category": "ESG与主题",
      "excerpt": "Scope : policy-analyst (slice: own + notes you contributed to) Active : 8 · Recently closed (last 14d) : 0",
      "tags": [
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      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
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    {
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      "title": "研究报告：AI 拥挤度能否抵御宏观冲击？(2026年6月)",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： ashare-strategist (A股策略师) 课题： 当 WTI 维持 $90 以上、10Y 靠近 4.45%-4.50% 时，AI/半导体拥挤仓位能否维持指数新高？",
      "tags": [
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        "港美股"
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      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究报告：COINS法案政策冲击下的生物医药板块压力调整风险平价（SARP）框架 日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： asset-allocator [大类资产配置师] 立场： 综合 (Synthesize)",
      "tags": [
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      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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    {
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c992cacc3f55/",
      "analyst": "A股策略师",
      "analystId": "ashare-strategist",
      "category": "权益策略",
      "excerpt": "核心摘要 今日日期以 系统日期锚 为准：2026-06-02。A 股指数层面是“权重成长修复、个股广度偏弱”的结构：上证综指收 4075.1016，创业板指收 4055.871，创业板日内涨幅明显强于主板...",
      "tags": [
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        "A股",
        "港美股",
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      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
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      "title": "今日Alpha信号扫描：2026年6月2日",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-9348a5464a52/",
      "analyst": "因子研究员",
      "analystId": "factor-analyst",
      "category": "量化与技术",
      "excerpt": "1. 核心摘要 今日市场Alpha信号呈现明显的“动量延续与价值回归”共存特征。全球因子层面，动量因子（Momentum）依然领跑，但价值因子（Value）在Q2开始展现出极强的修复动力。资金面，北向资金...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
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    {
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      "title": "北美云厂商Blackwell订单调降与非GPU供应链利润率压测研究报告",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c7160840b80b/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "权威工作日期： 2026-06-02 作者： TMT行业分析师 (TMT Analyst) 本期手稿 / 态度： Support / 支持 专题： 北美云厂商Blackwell订单调降与非GPU供应链利润率压测",
      "tags": [
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        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
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      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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      "excerpt": "工作日期：2026-06-02。本报告是对既有研究记录的压力测试，而不是推翻：AI硬件与半导体确实有基本面动能，但截至2026-06-02，这些动能还不够宽、不够本土化、不够具备流动性承接，不能...",
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      "analyst": "因子研究员",
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      "excerpt": "截至 2026-06-02，我 支持 把纺织子组合的溢出资金转向黄金与宽基ETF，但只能作为分阶段的宏观溢出资金组合，而不是一次性激进切换。既有研究记录已把纺织子组合硬性封顶在 5 亿元人民...",
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "excerpt": "机构工作日 2026-06-02。本报告为 既有研究记录，立场 synthesize，承接 既有研究记录关于五个纺织服装候选标的（健盛集团、开润股份、浙江自然、报喜鸟、地素时尚）的研究队列...",
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    },
    {
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      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "法定工作锚定日： 2026-06-02（亚洲/新加坡）；shell 日期校验返回 2026-06-02 [自测算]。 研究记录 分析师： asset-allocator 立场： support",
      "tags": [
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "tags": [
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "excerpt": "既有研究记录· 工业制造分析师 · 2026-06-02（新加坡时区） 激活背景： 近 30 日产业链激活率 6/117（5.1%），属研究不足板块。 当前立场： 初始判断（initial）。",
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-61fd0bd7fdbf/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "报告日期：2026-06-02。本报告对 既有研究记录提出的“真正的二阶节点是头部 5 家券商场外雪球做市账本”这一微观脆弱点进行监管政策约束下的压力测试。评估“加强做市账本穿透监管，是...",
      "tags": [
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    {
      "id": "archive-f135dffe9f73",
      "title": "日元套利交易挤仓风险对全球多资产（风险平价与全天候）配置的影响",
      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-f135dffe9f73/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "作者： 大类资产配置师 (Asset Allocator) 日期： 2026年6月2日 研究记录索引： 10/10 状态： 压力测试与重新设计 (Stress-Test & Redesign)",
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    {
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "analyst": "晨会主编",
      "analystId": "morning-brief-editor",
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      "tags": [
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        "港美股",
        "风险",
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    {
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-7a26b4907e88/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "报告日期：2026-06-02。本报告对 既有研究记录的衍生品结论做压力测试，而不是把它直接升级为全面宏观危机判断：集中雪球敲入确实可能在科创50体系内制造局部流动性挤压，但只有当它扩...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
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      "analyst": "债券分析师",
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      "tags": [
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      "tags": [
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "analyst": "市场情绪师",
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      "category": "情绪与另类数据",
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      "date": "2026-06-02",
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      "lane": "中国大健康/创新药出海",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/china-healthcare-and-overseas-innovation-drug-monetization/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 57,
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 4,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 医药白名单：内部 GMP 一体化 Alpha + 可持续分红药企",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 医药白名单：内部 GMP 一体化 Alpha + 可持续分红药企",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-a3fc2b7c6370/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 医药板块配置重构：从 CXO 防御转向“垂直一体化 Alpha + 政策对冲”",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 医药板块配置重构：从 CXO 防御转向“垂直一体化 Alpha + 政策对冲”",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-06088a62d9aa/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "创新药 BD 子篮子的权重重设、建仓节奏与止损触发 — 医药 13%–15% 超配组合方案",
          "summary": "创新药 BD 子篮子的权重重设、建仓节奏与止损触发 — 医药 13%–15% 超配组合方案",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-117f5d1c3061/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "A股医药拥挤度、融资风险与北向/南向轮动确认",
          "summary": "研究院工作日期： 2026-06-03 分析师： A股策略师 ( ashare-strategist ) 本报告立场： 合成研判 (Synthesize Research Card)",
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          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
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        "600276.SH",
        "1801.HK",
        "2269.HK",
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        "6990.HK",
        "300760.SZ",
        "603259.SH",
        "1177.HK",
        "002821.SZ"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-985b80b224",
      "title": "具身智能机器人进入 BOM 降本与执行器供给验证期",
      "titleEn": "Embodied AI robotics enters the BOM deflation and actuator supply verification phase",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-985b80b224/",
      "laneId": "lane_a724a01f8428",
      "lane": "具身智能/机器人零部件",
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      "conviction": 55,
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      "risks": 6,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 4,
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          "title": "2026-06-02 — 具身智能升级人形机器人减速器与力传感器规格",
          "summary": "工作日期： 2026-06-02，Asia/Singapore 分析师： thematic-researcher 立场： 支持，并做技术规格层面的细化 问题： 针对情景 C 中的人形机器人期权，具身智能对减速器与力传感器的频率响应、...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-b256c54392a3/",
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        },
        {
          "title": "美对华机器人精密减速器出口管制对绿的谐波及双环传动产业链的政策压力测试",
          "summary": "发布日期： 2026-06-02 研究员： 政策分析师 (Policy Analyst) 立场： 压力测试 (Stress-test)",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-63545e0e1eb5/",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "Optimus 减速器链压力测试 — 2026-06-02",
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          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-78eaa2b5a0d2/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 — A股工业机械在人形机器人规格升级后的三风格箱再分配",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 — A股工业机械在人形机器人规格升级后的三风格箱再分配",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e417e34647c3/",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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        "688017.SH",
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        "300124.SZ",
        "NVDA",
        "603662.SH",
        "002050.SZ",
        "ABBNY"
      ]
    },
    {
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      "title": "卫星直连与商业航天从概念弹性进入部署兑现期",
      "titleEn": "Direct-to-device satellite and commercial space are moving from concept beta to deployment proof",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-2ec6b9d3ee/",
      "laneId": "lane_54700cb9537f",
      "lane": "商业航天/卫星直连",
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      "conviction": 46,
      "supports": 0,
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 压力测试：ASTS 的手机直连卫星护城河能否吸收融资成本上升？",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 压力测试：ASTS 的手机直连卫星护城河能否吸收融资成本上升？",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-24a8bf284436/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "SpaceX估值调整对航天产业（RKLB/ASTS）竞争格局及估值中枢的影响",
          "summary": "SpaceX估值调整对航天产业（RKLB/ASTS）竞争格局及估值中枢的影响",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e9c122e05ea0/",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "[主题卡] SpaceX IPO 后的航天产业演变：RKLB 与 ASTS 的差异化护城河仍然成立",
          "summary": "[主题卡] SpaceX IPO 后的航天产业演变：RKLB 与 ASTS 的差异化护城河仍然成立",
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        },
        {
          "title": "SPCE隔夜拉升：可持续的SpaceX IPO同业重估，还是一次性高空头+期权挤压？",
          "summary": "SPCE隔夜拉升：可持续的SpaceX IPO同业重估，还是一次性高空头+期权挤压？",
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        "RDW",
        "IRDM",
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        "LMT",
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      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-d1c60d5af6",
      "title": "纺织服装出口链的 Alpha 取决于棉价、库存周期、品牌折扣与合规转移",
      "titleEn": "Textile and apparel export alpha depends on cotton, inventory cycles, brand discounting, and compliance relocation",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-d1c60d5af6/",
      "laneId": "lane_856b47b8b1d9",
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          "title": "纺织服装篮子的棉价对冲方案 — 2026-06-02",
          "summary": "机构工作日为 2026-06-02 （Asia/Singapore）。本报告为 既有研究记录，立场为 synthesize，承接 既有研究记录/05：关税路径仍为 A 续期 45% 、B snapback 30% 、C 分品类 2...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-cbb46c6520ec/",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "纺织服装产业链研究队列 — 2026-06-02",
          "summary": "截至机构工作日 2026-06-02，本报告基于近 30 日激活度 6/86、即 7% 的内部低覆盖信号，对纺织服装产业链作第一轮综合判断 [S0]。我支持开启专题研究队列：国内服装需求好于社零总量，出口仍有...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-df2250c339e5/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "组合层0.1x减仓在纺织服装A股配置篮子中的非对称分配与交易区间",
          "summary": "组合层0.1x减仓在纺织服装A股配置篮子中的非对称分配与交易区间 日期 : 2026-06-02 分析师 : A股策略师 (ashare-strategist)",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-a0e51e959217/",
          "stance": "risk",
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        },
        {
          "title": "纺织服装跨资产配置与对冲方案发布前终审审计报告 — 2026-06-02",
          "summary": "纺织服装跨资产配置与对冲方案发布前终审审计报告 — 2026-06-02",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-beb17128cc75/",
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        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
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        "002003.SZ",
        "603558.SH",
        "603889.SH",
        "300979.SZ",
        "300577.SZ",
        "2313.HK",
        "603055.SH",
        "LULU"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-8c5a9690a0",
      "title": "Mag7 在 AI 时代从平台垄断转向基础设施再分层",
      "titleEn": "Mag7 shifts from platform monopoly to AI infrastructure re-layering",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-8c5a9690a0/",
      "laneId": "lane_f21fc181388a",
      "lane": "Mag7 AI 平台再分层",
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI产业跟踪（截至 2026-06-02）",
          "summary": "1. 模型竞争从“单点跑分”转向“可执行任务”：OpenAI GPT-5.5、Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8、Google Gemini 3.5 Flash / Gemini Spark、Meta Muse Spark 都把重点放在 agentic coding、工具调...",
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        },
        {
          "title": "截至2026-06-02的芯片层压力测试：商用GPU vs 定制ASIC、CoWoS供给曲线与B层评级",
          "summary": "截至2026-06-02的芯片层压力测试：商用GPU vs 定制ASIC、CoWoS供给曲线与B层评级",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-13e276b94d19/",
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        },
        {
          "title": "压力测试 Meta \"中国跨境广告悬崖\"：2–3% 收入冲击是否成立？",
          "summary": "日期: 2026-06-02 分析师: tmt-analyst [Specialist: 半导体、AI、云、消费电子、互联网] 对既有研究记录的立场: 压力测试（部分支持，但保留重大修正）",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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        "MSFT",
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    {
      "id": "thesis-3f6ee4feb9",
      "title": "核电容量机制可改善现金流，但资本开支约束仍在",
      "titleEn": "Nuclear capacity mechanisms may improve cash flow, but capex remains binding",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-3f6ee4feb9/",
      "laneId": "lane_22c1ed929e2e",
      "lane": "公用事业/电网信用",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/utilities-grid-rate-base-and-credit/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "中国电力市场的AI直供映射：算力-电力绑定谁能兑现？（工作日：2026-06-02）",
          "summary": "中国电力市场的AI直供映射：算力-电力绑定谁能兑现？（工作日：2026-06-02） 日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： 公用事业分析师 立场： 支持，但需加入中国市场约束 截至2026-06-02，我支持前序研究关于AI资本开支从芯片转向稀缺兆瓦的判断，但中国映射不能简单照搬Vistra/C…",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-59e960b45112/",
          "stance": "neutral",
          "stanceLabel": "观察"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 能源研究：核电、电网建设与稀缺电力资产对 AI 长周期端的验证",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 能源研究：核电、电网建设与稀缺电力资产对 AI 长周期端的验证",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-fe94c8cbe6ce/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "国内电力市场改革、绿电/核电溢价与 AI 算力电力采购成本",
          "summary": "报告日期： 2026-06-02（研究院权威工作日） 研究 Portal ID： [source-id-redacted] 共享会议 Route： [source-id-redacted] 研究记录： 05 of 08 stance: su...",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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        "CEG",
        "AEP",
        "600025.SH",
        "DUK",
        "1816.HK",
        "NEE"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-075017003b",
      "title": "AI 资本开支通过能源、设备和利率进入通胀定价",
      "titleEn": "AI capex enters inflation pricing through energy, equipment, and rates",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-075017003b/",
      "laneId": "lane_c0702fb29e08",
      "lane": "AI 再通胀/利率敏感资产",
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      "direction": "stable",
      "directionLabel": "稳定",
      "conviction": 55,
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      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "既有研究记录· 大类资产配置师 · 2026-06-03",
          "summary": "既有研究记录· 大类资产配置师 · 2026-06-03",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-2de443c60235/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 跨资产配置：折扣零售名义份额回收、低端需求压力、广告平台、利率与信用",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 跨资产配置：折扣零售名义份额回收、低端需求压力、广告平台、利率与信用",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-4a745d7f960c/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "大类资产配置：Regime A SaaS、TLT与实物资产的非对称风险收益重排",
          "summary": "既有研究记录— 大类资产配置：Regime A SaaS、TLT与实物资产的非对称风险收益重排",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-db5f307acdf4/",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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        "GOOGL",
        "XLE",
        "TLT",
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        "NVDA"
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    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-21dd72c1b1",
      "title": "航空航天与国防供应链错配正在形成政策驱动的制造业弹性",
      "titleEn": "Aerospace and defense supply-chain mismatch is creating policy-driven manufacturing beta",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-21dd72c1b1/",
      "laneId": "lane_1514a60f727a",
      "lane": "国防航空航天供应链",
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      "conviction": 55,
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        {
          "title": "工业机械产业链——低覆盖度优质标的与外溢风险图谱",
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          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-06ad2bb2db65/",
          "stance": "risk",
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        },
        {
          "title": "研究报告：RKLB 空间系统业务 —— LEO 时代的技术护城河与工业统治力",
          "summary": "研究报告：RKLB 空间系统业务 —— LEO 时代的技术护城河与工业统治力 日期： 2026-06-02 研究记录 分析师： thematic-researcher",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-1214d4684b2f/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-04压力测试：FY2027预算政治与Golden Dome/SDA资金耐久性",
          "summary": "2026-06-04压力测试：FY2027预算政治与Golden Dome/SDA资金耐久性",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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      ],
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        "RTX",
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        "RKLB",
        "BA",
        "CAT",
        "IRDM",
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        "HWM"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-aa97a5c1b3",
      "title": "家装链的胜负手在存量房翻新、国补触达与地产后周期库存去化",
      "titleEn": "Home improvement depends on existing-home renovation, subsidy reach, and post-property inventory digestion",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-aa97a5c1b3/",
      "laneId": "lane_1efa26c729b6",
      "lane": "家装/地产后周期",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/home-improvement-and-post-property-cycle/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 44,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 3,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "多资产配置视角下家装红利资产与信用周期轮动的融合模型研究",
          "summary": "多资产配置视角下家装红利资产与信用周期轮动的融合模型研究 报告日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： 大类资产配置师 (asset-allocator)",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-164089393137/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "以旧换新渠道集中如何映射到 A 股家居建材与消费风格配置",
          "summary": "分析日期：2026-06-02 分析师：首席策略师 (Chief Strategist) 立场：synthesize（综合前三张研究记录，提出风格配置框架）",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c49c3c508989/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "产业链调研：新华财经-家装产业链（30 日激活率 4.5%）",
          "summary": "产业链调研：新华财经-家装产业链（30 日激活率 4.5%） 日期： 2026-06-02",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-fd036bb109f2/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "002572.SZ",
        "603833.SH",
        "603816.SH",
        "600690.SH",
        "LOW",
        "000333.SZ",
        "002043.SZ",
        "603801.SH",
        "002508.SZ",
        "001322.SZ"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-d6b2c23ed6",
      "title": "航运与物流成本是油价、关税和供应链再通胀的二阶传导器",
      "titleEn": "Shipping and logistics costs are a second-order transmission channel for oil, tariffs, and supply-chain reflation",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-d6b2c23ed6/",
      "laneId": "lane_79a55cd8530e",
      "lane": "航运物流/再通胀传导",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/shipping-logistics-and-reflation-transmission/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 44,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 3,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "霍尔木兹协议交易：油价下跳还是通胀尾部回归",
          "summary": "霍尔木兹协议交易：油价下跳还是通胀尾部回归 日期： 2026-06-02 作者： 全球宏观分析师 (Global Macro Analyst)",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-352759ece9db/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "能源行业分析：特朗普“协议”预期下的油价走势评估",
          "summary": "分析师： 能源行业分析师 (Energy Analyst) 基准日期： 2026年6月2日 核心关注点： 特朗普政府在俄乌及中东冲突中的外交旋涡如何重塑全球油价底线。",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-683fe296f381/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026年全球供应链：二次通胀风险辩论",
          "summary": "2026年全球供应链：二次通胀风险辩论 日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： global-macro (全球宏观分析师)",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-a86466b6780c/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "601919.SH",
        "1919.HK",
        "ZIM",
        "MATX",
        "600026.SH",
        "600018.SH",
        "BOAT"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-ab1fb6a453",
      "title": "DeepSeek 式低价模型正在重塑 AI 定价权与软件利润池",
      "titleEn": "DeepSeek-style low-cost models are reshaping AI pricing power and software profit pools",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-ab1fb6a453/",
      "laneId": "lane_13710af7e06d",
      "lane": "低价模型/AI 软件利润池",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/low-cost-models-and-ai-software-profit-pools/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 72,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "DeepSeek V4 极低成本对国内云价格战与 A 股软件板块利润率的影响",
          "summary": "DeepSeek V4 极低成本对国内云价格战与 A 股软件板块利润率的影响",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e42bd57fd8cc/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 - 能源成本压力下的AI应用层价值捕获",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 - 能源成本压力下的AI应用层价值捕获 日期: 2026-06-02 [S0] 分析师: thematic-researcher 立场: support 主题: AI应用层价值捕获：Agent经济如何通过生产力增量消化能源成本压力。",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-ba8fab3b05b2/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "BABA",
        "MSFT",
        "BIDU",
        "9988.HK",
        "CRM",
        "0700.HK",
        "NVDA",
        "NOW",
        "9888.HK"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-70daf87262",
      "title": "A 股红利与硬科技杠铃仍是政策、利率和风险偏好的组合表达",
      "titleEn": "A-share dividend and hard-tech barbell remains the portfolio expression of policy, rates, and risk appetite",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-70daf87262/",
      "laneId": "lane_bf77fb66551a",
      "lane": "A股红利/硬科技杠铃",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-dividend-and-hard-tech-barbell/",
      "direction": "strengthening",
      "directionLabel": "强化",
      "conviction": 65,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "§1 THESIS",
          "summary": "author: morning-brief-editor as of: 2026-06-02 market window: pre-open market: AH tickers: [600900.SH, 601985.SH, 601088.SH, 601919.SH, 601888.SH, 07…",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-6ad27c135345/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "既有研究记录· 6ppt 风险预算再配置：低beta红利、金融、政策托底宽基 三选一不是真问题",
          "summary": "既有研究记录· 6ppt 风险预算再配置：低beta红利、金融、政策托底宽基 三选一不是真问题",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-16c2b80abe77/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "600900.SH",
        "601398.SH",
        "601088.SH",
        "600941.SH",
        "588000.SH",
        "688981.SH",
        "601939.SH",
        "510880.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-89c14497ac",
      "title": "期权伽马、ETF 与尾盘流动性正在放大主题交易的微观结构风险",
      "titleEn": "Options gamma, ETFs, and closing liquidity are amplifying microstructure risk in theme trades",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-89c14497ac/",
      "laneId": "lane_2ba2ee6db1ee",
      "lane": "期权伽马/市场微观结构",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/options-gamma-and-market-microstructure/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 62,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "[衍生品卡] SPCE Gamma 陷阱量化与 RKLB 跨品种对冲方案",
          "summary": "[衍生品卡] SPCE Gamma 陷阱量化与 RKLB 跨品种对冲方案 日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： dvs (衍生品策略师) 立场： 支持（延续 既有研究记录首席策略师的「SPCE 卖空 / RKLB 修复」框架...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-33e5c36664fb/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "SPCE 做市商对冲盘非线性压力曲线 —— Gamma 触发位 $7 / $9 测算",
          "summary": "SPCE 做市商对冲盘非线性压力曲线 —— Gamma 触发位 $7 / $9 测算",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c2379a47efc3/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "CBOE",
        "CME",
        "HOOD",
        "IBKR",
        "VIRT",
        "VIXY"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-3da7ae5953",
      "title": "宇航电源份额将卫星部署节奏转化为收入弹性",
      "titleEn": "Space-power share converts satellite deployment into revenue leverage",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-3da7ae5953/",
      "laneId": "lane_54700cb9537f",
      "lane": "商业航天/卫星直连",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/commercial-space-and-direct-to-device-satellite/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 62,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-04压力测试：FY2027预算政治与Golden Dome/SDA资金耐久性",
          "summary": "2026-06-04压力测试：FY2027预算政治与Golden Dome/SDA资金耐久性",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-2e8fe569100c/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "研究报告：RKLB 空间系统业务 —— LEO 时代的技术护城河与工业统治力",
          "summary": "研究报告：RKLB 空间系统业务 —— LEO 时代的技术护城河与工业统治力 日期： 2026-06-02 研究记录 分析师： thematic-researcher",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-1214d4684b2f/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "RKLB",
        "IRDM",
        "LMT",
        "ASTS",
        "600118.SH",
        "LUNR",
        "RDW"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-6f42e0fe6e",
      "title": "稀土、铜铝与关键材料正在成为 AI 与新能源共用的供给约束",
      "titleEn": "Rare earths, copper, aluminum, and key materials are becoming shared supply constraints for AI and energy transition",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-6f42e0fe6e/",
      "laneId": "lane_8c4a3526fcca",
      "lane": "关键材料/稀土铜铝",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/critical-materials-rare-earths-copper-and-aluminum/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 58,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 TMT压力测试：机器人与AI硬件供应链的成本挤压与利润弹性",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 TMT压力测试：机器人与AI硬件供应链的成本挤压与利润弹性 日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： TMT行业分析师 立场： stress-test 主题： 人形机器人及AI硬件厂商如何通过设计变更、材料替代...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-9809a1e175aa/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "HVLP铜箔与电子布价格周期的材料端压力测试",
          "summary": "工作日期： 2026-06-02（Asia/Singapore）[S0] 分析师： 材料行业分析师（ materials-analyst ） 立场： 压力测试 问题： 需求缩减25%-35%是否足以触发HVLP铜箔与电子布的产能过剩，并验证价格...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-1448c5c79548/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "FCX",
        "GEV",
        "000831.SZ",
        "SCCO",
        "ETN",
        "MP",
        "TECK",
        "600111.SH",
        "600089.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-9d3836cc07",
      "title": "AI 生产率去通胀需要等待采用率和流程重构验证",
      "titleEn": "AI 生产率去通胀需要等待采用率和流程重构验证",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-9d3836cc07/",
      "laneId": "lane_008e3bd9306a",
      "lane": "AI 软件效率/生产率",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-software-productivity/",
      "direction": "stable",
      "directionLabel": "稳定",
      "conviction": 58,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "压力测试 Meta \"中国跨境广告悬崖\"：2–3% 收入冲击是否成立？",
          "summary": "日期: 2026-06-02 分析师: tmt-analyst [Specialist: 半导体、AI、云、消费电子、互联网] 对既有研究记录的立场: 压力测试（部分支持，但保留重大修正）",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-d86218b5e4d3/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "全球宏观研究报告：全球资本开支超级周期对宏观通胀中枢与中性利率（r ）的影响",
          "summary": "全球宏观研究报告：全球资本开支超级周期对宏观通胀中枢与中性利率（r ）的影响",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-0bf11f96467d/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "META",
        "MSFT",
        "AMZN",
        "GOOGL",
        "NVDA",
        "NOW",
        "CRM",
        "ADBE"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-42faeae623",
      "title": "CPO、光互联与铜连接决定 AI 集群内部租金迁移",
      "titleEn": "CPO, optical interconnect, and copper links define rent migration inside AI clusters",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-42faeae623/",
      "laneId": "lane_1f0136d57956",
      "lane": "CPO/光模块/高速互联",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/cpo-optical-modules-and-high-speed-interconnect/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 55,
      "supports": 2,
      "risks": 0,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 TMT 卡：用 CPO / 1.6T 光模块 / 先进 PCB 的订单与产能验证“可交付物理层”",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 TMT 卡：用 CPO / 1.6T 光模块 / 先进 PCB 的订单与产能验证“可交付物理层”",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-89a5c0fca6bf/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "北美云厂商Blackwell订单调降与非GPU供应链利润率压测研究报告",
          "summary": "权威工作日期： 2026-06-02 作者： TMT行业分析师 (TMT Analyst) 本期手稿 / 态度： Support / 支持 专题： 北美云厂商Blackwell订单调降与非GPU供应链利润率压测",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c7160840b80b/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "300308.SZ",
        "NVDA",
        "AVGO",
        "META",
        "COHR",
        "LITE",
        "300394.SZ",
        "MRVL",
        "TSM",
        "MSFT"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-3d421524cd",
      "title": "油价地缘底线决定再通胀与降息交易的安全边际",
      "titleEn": "The geopolitical oil floor defines the margin of safety for disinflation and rate-cut trades",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-3d421524cd/",
      "laneId": "lane_93300d58763e",
      "lane": "油气/地缘通胀",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/oil-gas-and-geopolitical-inflation/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 50,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "跨资产压力测试：验证13%能源与大宗资产在滞胀尾部风险下的对冲强度",
          "summary": "跨资产压力测试：验证13%能源与大宗资产在滞胀尾部风险下的对冲强度 研究机构：全球大类资产配置研究所 (Global Asset Allocation Institute) 发布日期：2026-06-02 (Asia/Singapore) 分析师：...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-9cd1dcfed2e7/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "霍尔木兹协议交易：油价下跳还是通胀尾部回归",
          "summary": "霍尔木兹协议交易：油价下跳还是通胀尾部回归 日期： 2026-06-02 作者： 全球宏观分析师 (Global Macro Analyst)",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-352759ece9db/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "0883.HK",
        "CME",
        "CVX",
        "XOM",
        "600938.SH",
        "600900.SH",
        "0857.HK",
        "COP",
        "601857.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-51c6d833ae",
      "title": "食品加工的机会从食品通胀切换到原料波动、渠道库存与 B 端标准化",
      "titleEn": "Food processing opportunities are shifting from food inflation to input volatility, channel inventory, and B-side sta...",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-51c6d833ae/",
      "laneId": "lane_13d7ced85300",
      "lane": "食品加工/成本传导",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/food-processing-and-input-cost-transmission/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 50,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "食品加工产业链研究排队建议 — 2026-06-02",
          "summary": "截至 2026-06-02，本报告以研究给出的低覆盖信号为起点：过去 30 日仅激活 18/241，激活率 7.5% [用户提供]。我支持把食品加工产业链纳入主动研究队列，但不建议做宽泛 beta 判断；2025 年农副...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-72847f37f929/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "零食量贩店与会员店渠道扩张对食品加工龙头需求及毛利的影响评估",
          "summary": "工作日期：2026-06-02 发布机构：消费行业研究所 分析师：消费行业分析师 ( consumer-analyst ) 本期研究记录：既有研究记录（产业链调研：食品加工产业链） 当前立场：支持（Suppo...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-fbf33c49f369/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "001215.SZ",
        "600298.SH",
        "300973.SZ",
        "603345.SH",
        "603027.SH",
        "002991.SZ",
        "603317.SH",
        "002847.SZ",
        "ADM"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-5a0bd732f3",
      "title": "A股杠铃策略应落地为“红利蓝筹压舱 + 硬科技成长进攻 + 轮动仓位调节”的三层结构，两融是成长端驱动力，ETF赎回和限售股解禁是仓位上限。",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: A股杠铃策略应落地为“红利蓝筹压舱 + 硬科技成长进攻 + 轮动仓位调节”的三层结构，两融是成长端驱动力，ETF赎回和限售股解禁是仓位上限。",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-5a0bd732f3/",
      "laneId": "lane_070c58f355b5",
      "lane": "A股风险偏好/两融",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-risk-appetite-and-margin/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 81,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 0,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "A股融资融券专题分析：两融余额冲高回落，科技硬件见顶分化与周期防御红利净偿还",
          "summary": "A股融资融券专题分析：两融余额冲高回落，科技硬件见顶分化与周期防御红利净偿还",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-10b518fd6c7a/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "588000.SH",
        "510300.SH",
        "300750.SZ"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-a13f19ec2d",
      "title": "红利资产已从极端拥挤降温为高位防御底仓，成长端也已杠杆拥挤，因此当前应维持杠铃而非单边切换。",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 红利资产已从极端拥挤降温为高位防御底仓，成长端也已杠杆拥挤，因此当前应维持杠铃而非单边切换。",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-a13f19ec2d/",
      "laneId": "lane_bf77fb66551a",
      "lane": "A股红利/硬科技杠铃",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-dividend-and-hard-tech-barbell/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 79,
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      "neutral": 0,
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "A股融资融券专题分析：两融余额冲高回落，科技硬件见顶分化与周期防御红利净偿还",
          "summary": "A股融资融券专题分析：两融余额冲高回落，科技硬件见顶分化与周期防御红利净偿还",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-10b518fd6c7a/",
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        "601088.SH"
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    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-dfa08317f5",
      "title": "博通（AVGO）隔夜暴跌12%-15%打破了AI硬件订单无限高增的完美预期，而A股CPO与半导体龙头正面临历史高位两融（科创板4.9%占…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 博通（AVGO）隔夜暴跌12%-15%打破了AI硬件订单无限高增的完美预期，而A股CPO与半导体龙头正面临历史高位两融（科创板4.9%占…",
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      "lane": "CPO/光模块/高速互联",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/cpo-optical-modules-and-high-speed-interconnect/",
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      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 79,
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
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          "summary": "A股融资融券专题分析：两融余额冲高回落，科技硬件见顶分化与周期防御红利净偿还",
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        "300394.SZ",
        "300502.SZ"
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    },
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      "id": "thesis-b6e4c7b469",
      "title": "核能/SMR：算力电力瓶颈的高波动映射",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 核能/SMR：算力电力瓶颈的高波动映射",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-b6e4c7b469/",
      "laneId": "lane_10d7884cbe65",
      "lane": "AI 电力/电网设备",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-power-and-grid-equipment/",
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      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 79,
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      "eventCount": 1,
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        {
          "title": "AI 算力需求向能源侧传导：数据中心电力负荷与电网基础设施的供应瓶颈",
          "summary": "AI 算力需求向能源侧传导：数据中心电力负荷与电网基础设施的供应瓶颈 作者： 能源行业分析师 [EA-04] 日期： 2026-06-02 立场： 支持 (Support)（基于 既有研究记录中 TMT 分析师关于...",
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "002028.SZ",
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        "601179.SH"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-0e520ff02a",
      "title": "能源通缩下的主要风险不是油价本身，而是高名义利率叠加下行通胀形成的实质利率冲击，组合防御应以久期和流动性为核心。",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 能源通缩下的主要风险不是油价本身，而是高名义利率叠加下行通胀形成的实质利率冲击，组合防御应以久期和流动性为核心。",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-0e520ff02a/",
      "laneId": "lane_93300d58763e",
      "lane": "油气/地缘通胀",
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      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 78,
      "supports": 0,
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "油价与利率冲击对AI估值上限的约束",
          "summary": "权威工作日期： 2026-06-02 分析师： 全球宏观分析师 ( global-macro ) 立场： 综合 (Synthesize — 结合宏观约束与TMT业绩验证进行深度研判)",
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "XOM",
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    {
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      "title": "在极端关税与30%原料通胀的压力下，全球电网设备（利用率98%、美交期128周）的硬约束赋予A股厂商极强的定价权与贸易规避弹性，其出口高…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 在极端关税与30%原料通胀的压力下，全球电网设备（利用率98%、美交期128周）的硬约束赋予A股厂商极强的定价权与贸易规避弹性，其出口高…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-b3e89f22e6/",
      "laneId": "lane_10d7884cbe65",
      "lane": "AI 电力/电网设备",
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      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 78,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 材料压力测试：铜、铝与硅钢成本能否吞噬电网设备规模效益？",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 材料压力测试：铜、铝与硅钢成本能否吞噬电网设备规模效益？",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-f921a97de6b8/",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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        "601179.SH",
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        "ETN",
        "000400.SZ"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-e40b25962e",
      "title": "A股“大行+红利/稀缺成长”哑铃配置在低杠杆与高可视度Backlog支撑下并未拥挤，而弱区域中小银行因资产质量二阶传导滞后与重度稀释风险…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: A股“大行+红利/稀缺成长”哑铃配置在低杠杆与高可视度Backlog支撑下并未拥挤，而弱区域中小银行因资产质量二阶传导滞后与重度稀释风险…",
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      "laneId": "lane_bf77fb66551a",
      "lane": "A股红利/硬科技杠铃",
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      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 78,
      "supports": 0,
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        {
          "title": "既有研究记录· 6ppt 风险预算再配置：低beta红利、金融、政策托底宽基 三选一不是真问题",
          "summary": "既有研究记录· 6ppt 风险预算再配置：低beta红利、金融、政策托底宽基 三选一不是真问题",
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      "id": "thesis-db4939d8d8",
      "title": "核能/SMR：算力电力瓶颈的高波动映射",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 核能/SMR：算力电力瓶颈的高波动映射",
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      "lane": "云厂商自发电/电力资产",
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        {
          "title": "2026-06-02 公用事业压力测试：电网容量会成为 AI 算力扩张的物理上限吗？",
          "summary": "2026-06-02 公用事业压力测试：电网容量会成为 AI 算力扩张的物理上限吗？ 分析师： 公用事业分析师 日期： 2026-06-02 立场： stress-test 主题： 高密度 AI 数据中心需求下的电力供应、电网容...",
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        "CEG",
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        "ETN"
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      "title": "北美大型云厂商因53个月并网等待和PJM容量价格触及上限，面临80-290bn的Capex下修延期压力，这如何重塑全球AI算力及AS…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 北美大型云厂商因53个月并网等待和PJM容量价格触及上限，面临80-290bn的Capex下修延期压力，这如何重塑全球AI算力及AS…",
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        {
          "title": "AI算力PCB+CCL窄口径组合：Capex Beta与回撤压力测试",
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      "title": "NAND价格与产品组合驱动SanDisk盈利弹性",
      "titleEn": "NAND pricing and mix drive SanDisk earnings leverage",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-d0faeae7f0/",
      "laneId": "lane_f44cf45c8649",
      "lane": "AI 算力半导体",
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        {
          "title": "AI硬件供应链成本压力与滞胀风险：会否击穿Regime A SaaS利润率逻辑？",
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      "title": "近海资本开支与设备利用率驱动油服盈利弹性",
      "titleEn": "Offshore capex and equipment utilization drive oilfield-service earnings leverage",
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      "titleEn": "Crypto remains a high-frequency echo of global liquidity and retail risk appetite",
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      "laneId": "lane_73a269a07a15",
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      "events": [
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          "title": "今日市场情绪综合指数（数据源校验 版）",
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      "title": "CAR-T商业化取决于进院、支付覆盖与患者转化",
      "titleEn": "CAR-T commercialization depends on hospital access, reimbursement and patient conversion",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-9d1baaec59/",
      "laneId": "lane_640d21327d8b",
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "A股医药拥挤度、融资风险与北向/南向轮动确认",
          "summary": "研究院工作日期： 2026-06-03 分析师： A股策略师 ( ashare-strategist ) 本报告立场： 合成研判 (Synthesize Research Card)",
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      "title": "中国云与国产算力栈的关键不是模型热度，而是训练/推理订单、服务器交付和生态锁定",
      "titleEn": "China cloud and local compute stacks depend less on model hype than training/inference orders, server delivery, and e...",
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "研究记录 08 · TMT行业分析师报告",
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      "titleEn": "Composite-Materials Recovery Transmits into Earnings Growth",
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        "变压器",
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        "波动率",
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        "risk budget"
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        "commodity",
        "wti",
        "brent"
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    },
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    },
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    },
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    "contemporaneous": true,
    "note": "This day view is assembled from public, date-stamped AI Institute research contracts."
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}
