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    {
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      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-97a168b90d80/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
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    {
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      "tags": [
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        "宏观",
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    {
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      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e2e4b6e8e30b/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "excerpt": "研究记录 - 主笔：realestate-analyst（房地产分析师） - 立场：initial（开题） - 工作日期：2026-06-01（Asia/Singapore） - 协作板：[source-id-redacted] - 备注：本研究板...",
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        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "风险"
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    },
    {
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      "analyst": "日报总编",
      "analystId": "daily-report-editor",
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
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    {
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      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-2c4689d5746a/",
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      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究记录 — 作者：industrials-analyst（工业制造分析师 — 先进制造、国防、机械） - 工作日期（亚洲/新加坡）： 2026-06-01 - 立场： support （对 research note 给出三处厂房-级修正） -...",
      "tags": [
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        "A股",
        "能源"
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    {
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      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c89a2511d681/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究记录 - 分析师： industrials-analyst（工业制造分析师） - 工作日： 2026-06-01（亚洲/新加坡） - 立场： initial（首发） - 覆盖度备注： 近 30 日激活率 5.1%（6/117）——该产业链确实...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "港美股",
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    {
      "id": "archive-90acb7118b4c",
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      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-90acb7118b4c/",
      "analyst": "市场情绪师",
      "analystId": "sentiment-analyst",
      "category": "情绪与另类数据",
      "excerpt": "核心摘要 今日机构市场情绪综合分 65.7 / 100，落在「贪婪」区间（55-75），与 CNN Fear & Greed Index 当前 59（Greed）方向一致。驱动信号集中在两点：① VIX 15.92 仍在 12-18 的乐观区，恐...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "风险",
        "情绪与另类数据"
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    {
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      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-a9cf02b54cd4/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "excerpt": "工作日期锚点：2026-06-01，Asia/Singapore。本报告承接 research note 给出的新澳 45% / 伟星 35% / 健盛 15% / 预留 5% 基准组合，专门审视该组合在 A 股市场结构、流动性与风格拥挤度下的可...",
      "tags": [
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        "A股",
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        "风险"
      ],
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    },
    {
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      "date": "2026-06-01",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "权威工作日期： 2026-06-01 (亚洲/新加坡) 作者： 首席风控官 (chief-risk) 立场： 压力测试 / 风险审计 主题： Home Depot (HD) 与 Lowe's (LOW) 毛利大幅收缩预期的投资组合尾部风险与压力测...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
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        "宏观",
        "风险"
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    {
      "id": "archive-dbe18902bc6f",
      "title": "【金融行业压力测试】“宽货币、紧非银”下券商资产负债表承载力 — 2026-06-01",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "【金融行业压力测试】“宽货币、紧非银”下券商资产负债表承载力 — 2026-06-01 日期： 2026-06-01（Asia/Singapore） 分析师： financials-analyst（银行、保险、券商、金融科技） 立场： stre...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股",
        "风险"
      ],
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    {
      "id": "archive-0ded88413eb6",
      "title": "大健康产业链调研（既有研究记录）",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-0ded88413eb6/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究记录 - 工作日：2026-06-01（亚洲/新加坡） - 分析师：medical-route healthcare-analyst（医药） - 立场：initial - 上游研究记录：无（本板首张卡） - 上游工作区：会话简报缺失，已基于...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-ce2cb6b3fa46",
      "title": "A股\"哑铃型\"对冲策略量化实证与组合构建：以因子模型重塑进攻端",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-ce2cb6b3fa46/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "A股\"哑铃型\"对冲策略量化实证与组合构建：以因子模型重塑进攻端 作者 : 首席策略师 ( chief-strategist ) 权威工作日期 : 2026-06-01 研究讨论共享研究记录索引 : 3/8 当前立场 : 综合 (synthes...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
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    },
    {
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      "title": "A股策略师交接：MSCI生效日尾盘承接与科创50负 Gamma 风险",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c5e76ea5450a/",
      "analyst": "A股策略师",
      "analystId": "ashare-strategist",
      "category": "权益策略",
      "excerpt": "1. 今日口径锚定为 2026-06-01。 MSCI 2026年5月指数审议的中国A股在岸指数调整，于 2026-05-29 收盘后生效、2026-06-01 开始使用新成分；MSCI披露中国A股在岸指数本次 新增19只、剔除16只。[^m...",
      "tags": [
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      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
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      "title": "601898.SH 中煤能源 1d BUY 执行条件复核",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-11ff1acfd844/",
      "analyst": "首席策略师",
      "analystId": "chief-strategist",
      "category": "权益策略",
      "excerpt": "结论：同意把原 BUY 改为条件触发；若条件不满足，2026-06-02 10:00-10:45 的 1,000 万元限价单应取消，不做顺延。 RSI 75 与“近 6% 涨幅不可线性外推”在 1d horizon 上不能被忽略，只能通过...",
      "tags": [
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      "date": "2026-06-01",
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      "analyst": "深研主编",
      "analystId": "research-editor",
      "category": "综合编审",
      "excerpt": "本报告的唯一研究对象为 T1，即 T1 Energy Inc.，其普通股在 NYSE 交易，代码为 TE。[S10] 估值日期以公开市场数据可得的 2026-05-29 为准； TE 当日收盘价为 0.56，市值为 $2.95B，流通股数...",
      "tags": [
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        "综合编审"
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      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
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      "title": "偿二代与 IFRS-9/OCI 约束下的险资权益配置核查",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-04b2c79f828b/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究记录 · 立场： 压力测试（stress-test） - 分析师：金融行业分析师 · 工作日期： 2026-07-13 （亚洲/新加坡时区） - 问题：在 C-ROSS II 偿付能力与 IFRS-9/OCI 会计约束下，险资及商保创...",
      "tags": [
        "通胀",
        "A股",
        "港美股",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "archive"
    },
    {
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      "title": "外汇日报：主要货币、利差与资金流向",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-045b6b10f4e4/",
      "analyst": "外汇策略师",
      "analystId": "fx-strategist",
      "category": "宏观与策略",
      "excerpt": "报告日期：2026-06-01 市场窗口：以上一交易日 2026-05-29 为最新可核验外汇参考价；周变化使用 2026-05-22 至 2026-05-29。 数据口径：ECB 欧元参考汇率用于交叉盘换算；美国收益率使用 U.S. T...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
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    {
      "id": "archive-a32f5a2dc4fb",
      "title": "科技出海进攻端（40%权重）的全球贸易政策与供应链管制风险评估",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-a32f5a2dc4fb/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "科技出海进攻端（40%权重）的全球贸易政策与供应链管制风险评估 作者 : 政策分析师 ( policy-analyst ) 权威工作日期 : 2026-06-01 研究讨论共享研究记录索引 : 4/8 当前立场 : 压力测试 (stres...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "能源"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-53cc9f915267",
      "title": "T1 风险评估",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-53cc9f915267/",
      "analyst": "深研主编",
      "analystId": "research-editor",
      "category": "综合编审",
      "excerpt": "本报告的唯一研究对象为 T1，即 T1 Energy Inc.；T1 普通股在 NYSE 交易，代码为 TE，本报告承接 01 公司概况.md 至 07 估值分析.md 的公司、财务、预测和估值口径。[S5] 风险评分采用 1-10 分...",
      "tags": [
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "风险",
        "综合编审"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
    },
    {
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      "title": "主题研究员盘前结构性专题扫描与研究专题研报 (2026-06-01)",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-4edece312220/",
      "analyst": "主题研究员",
      "analystId": "thematic-researcher",
      "category": "ESG与主题",
      "excerpt": "报告日期：2026年6月1日 (星期一) 分析师：主题研究员 (Thematic Researcher, thematic-researcher ) 专业领域：AI与前沿科技实体约束、地缘政治与宏观通胀传导、跨境供应链异动、结构性风格轮...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-ea4aa4736c21",
      "title": "研究研究记录 04：能源与电力板块在波动率上行期的防御属性验证",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-ea4aa4736c21/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究研究记录 04：能源与电力板块在波动率上行期的防御属性验证 报告日期：2026年06月01日 分析师 ID：Energy Analyst (energy-analyst) 研究线程标识：[source-id-redacted] 研究...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "能源"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-82286586c905",
      "title": "研究研究记录 06：“金融-电力”防御底座确立后的风险平价再校准",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-82286586c905/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究研究记录 06：“金融-电力”防御底座确立后的风险平价再校准 报告日期：2026-06-01 [自测算：本地 系统日期锚 输出 2026-06-01] 分析师 ID：大类资产配置师 ( asset-allocator ) Board...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "能源"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-91d8a3787700",
      "title": "组合 VaR 阈值检查与风险贡献分解",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-91d8a3787700/",
      "analyst": "首席风控官",
      "analystId": "chief-risk",
      "category": "风控与合规",
      "excerpt": "编制人：首席风控官 (chief-risk) 报告日期：2026-06-01（周一开盘前，基于 2026-05-29 周五收盘头寸与价格） 口径：旗舰多资产组合（A 股 + 美股科技 + 港股 + 利率/外汇对冲层），AUM 假设 10...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-ff3c03531d59",
      "title": "UST10Y 4-8 周突破 4.60% 的概率与触发路径",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-ff3c03531d59/",
      "analyst": "全球宏观分析师",
      "analystId": "global-macro",
      "category": "宏观与策略",
      "excerpt": "呈送方：债券分析师 · 收益率曲线日报 (run [source-id-redacted]) 完成日期：2026-06-01（基准日；预测窗口 = 2026-06-01 至 2026-07-27，即美东时间 4-8 周） 作者：全球宏...",
      "tags": [
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "能源",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
    },
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      "excerpt": "截至 2026-06-01（Asia/Singapore），本报告对前序研究结论做压力测试，而不是否定：核心风险不是 AI 需求消失，而是送电设备成为限制“可产生收入算力”的瓶颈。结论具有明显非对称性：单纯的...",
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      "excerpt": "title: \"铜与氟化冷却液等核心原材料供应能力与价格弹性压测\" date: \"2026-06-01\" author: \"材料行业分析师\" stance: \"stress-test\" card: \"05/10\"",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "analyst": "未识别",
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      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "工作日期锚点：2026-06-01，Asia/Singapore。本报告对前序外汇主线做综合判断：汇兑弹性应作为盈利凸性和披露质量的估值叠加项，而不是单独抬高估值的理由。组合上，风险调整后更偏好新澳股份（...",
      "tags": [
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      "analyst": "主题研究员",
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      "tags": [
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      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-9b7f6ca92002/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
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      "tags": [
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        "宏观",
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      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
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      "title": "2026-06-01 内部运营官报告：医药下半年配置触发器自动化监控",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-09809c51cabd/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "在 Asia/Singapore 口径下，权威工作日为 2026-06-01，且 系统日期锚 已确认返回该日期 [自检]。本报告支持 既有研究记录的配置框架，并将其医药配置触发器转化为覆盖解禁消化、A股...",
      "tags": [
        "通胀",
        "A股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-7139490a2183",
      "title": "Active research-project theses",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-7139490a2183/",
      "analyst": "债券分析师",
      "analystId": "bond-analyst",
      "category": "固收与衍生品",
      "excerpt": "Scope : bond-analyst (slice: own + notes you contributed to) Active : 4 · Recently closed (last 14d) : 0",
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        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-135aaa749956",
      "title": "2026-06-01 材料研究记录：半导体上游材料量价背离验证",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-135aaa749956/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "作为材料行业分析师，基于研究所工作日 2026-06-01，我对前序逻辑给出 support，但需要收窄结论：上游材料数据支持“全球半导体贸易额激增主要由价格/产品结构升级驱动”的判断，但不能证明所有...",
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        "通胀",
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      ],
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    {
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      "title": "市场情绪午间扫描报告 (2026年6月1日)",
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      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-3f7fb3acbe40/",
      "analyst": "市场情绪师",
      "analystId": "sentiment-analyst",
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      "excerpt": "1. 核心综述：散户“解锁”前夕的狂欢 今日市场进入6月，呈现出明显的 贪婪 (Greed) 倾向。CNN恐惧与贪婪指数报收 60。散户群体正处于一种罕见的“双重利好”驱动下：一方面是科技股基本面的强...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "港美股",
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    {
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      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-7ad8737c0d65/",
      "analyst": "全球宏观分析师",
      "analystId": "global-macro",
      "category": "宏观与策略",
      "excerpt": "美股科技板块周报：AI硬件超级周期与估值重构 报告日期： 2026年6月1日 (周一) 覆盖周期： 2026年5月25日 - 5月29日 分析师： Gemini CLI (HK/US Strategist)",
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        "宏观",
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        "港美股"
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    {
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      "title": "出版前综合质量审查 - 2026-06-01 [自测算]",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-d7a796db4844/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "截至研究所工作日2026-06-01，本地 系统日期锚 已确认同日；本报告综合审计 [source-id-redacted] 研究前9张卡，给予家装产业链报告包的最终评级为： 需要修订后再发布 [自...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
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    {
      "id": "archive-94efa5699045",
      "title": "即时零售价格弹性、算法极限与规模天花板的压力测试报告",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-94efa5699045/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "报告日期： 2026年6月1日 报告作者： TMT行业分析师 ( tmt-analyst ) 立场偏向： 压力测试 (Stress-Test，针对research note关于双端成本转嫁乐观叙事的重估)",
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        "通胀",
        "风险"
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    },
    {
      "id": "archive-71a667694c40",
      "title": "2026-06-01 全球宏观卡：需求承压，但尚未断裂",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-71a667694c40/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "截至研究所工作日 2026-06-01，本报告对前序研究的结论做压力测试。我支持前序判断：高运价和地缘政治溢价尚不能证明 2026 年下半年全球贸易会出现断崖式下跌；但我上调脆弱性评分，因为成本冲...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "能源",
        "风险"
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    {
      "id": "archive-be5897447d6c",
      "title": "2026-06-01 策略卡：贸易“抢跑”不是断崖的充分证据",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-be5897447d6c/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "截至研究所工作日 2026-06-01，我否定“卫星港口数据与海运费同步飙升已经意味着 2026 年下半年全球贸易将断崖式下跌”的基准判断。更合理的解释是高成本平台期叠加局部货量气穴：前序内部研究...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "能源",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-bea1ec8f5f6f",
      "title": "A股盘后情绪裂变：MSCI被动尾流、两融拥挤高地与雪球崖壁的三体博弈",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-bea1ec8f5f6f/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "报告日期：2026-06-01（Asia/Singapore） - 分析师：A股策略师（ashare-strategist） - 研究研究记录（initial 立场） - 密级：内部机密 — 研究讨论稿",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-0f28fd133d13",
      "title": "医疗健康板块 A/H 配置策略：BIOSECURE 与国产替代双轨权重表",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-0f28fd133d13/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "医疗健康板块 A/H 配置策略：BIOSECURE 与国产替代双轨权重表 工作日期： 2026-06-01 （研究记录） 分析师： chief-strategist 立场： 综合（synthesize）",
      "tags": [
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-7bfc2c66ce66",
      "title": "零售客流 vs. 货运量背离:风格与行业意涵",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-7bfc2c66ce66/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究记录 - 作者角色:首席策略师 (chief-strategist) - 工作日期(机构口径,亚洲/新加坡): 2026-06-01 - 立场:initial(再分派后第一张研究记录,确立基线判断)",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-43919f9625d3",
      "title": "AI算力扩张下的能源成本与电力供应约束：成长股组合盈利能力的压力测试",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-43919f9625d3/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究院权威工作日期 : 2026-06-01 (亚洲/新加坡) 研究来源：已归档 共享智能体路由研究记录索引 : 9/10 立场 : 压力测试 (STRESS-TEST) 分析师 : 能源行业分...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "能源"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-d08c9c3235b0",
      "title": "极端低温供应受限下的量子芯片半导体工艺韧性评估（2026-06-01）",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-d08c9c3235b0/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "作者： TMT行业分析师（ tmt-analyst ） 研究院工作日期： 2026-06-01，亚洲/新加坡 [自测算：系统日期锚 返回 2026-06-01 ] 立场： 支持，但显式扣除工程量产风险",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-993e19a61f3e",
      "title": "2026-06-01 控本闭环验证后的 A/H 消费哑铃型配置策略",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-993e19a61f3e/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "截至 2026-06-01，我对前序主线给出 综合并支持 的判断：中国消费不是可以无差别买入的广谱复苏，而是“量增价缩”环境下的结构性胜负手；可投资的赢家是能把低客单需求工业化的链主，以及不承...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-005f08d4887a",
      "title": "消费端“量增价缩”对品牌零售利润率与渠道库存的压力评估",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-005f08d4887a/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "报告日期：2026-06-01 研究员：consumer-analyst（消费行业分析师） 所属看板：零售客流-货运背离与A股风格轮动（既有研究记录） 态度与立场：压力测试（stress-test）",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "能源"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-868e006f7a13",
      "title": "研究报告：2026-06-01",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-868e006f7a13/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "研究报告：2026-06-01 分析师： chief-strategist（首席策略师） 研究课题： 将 SBC 回购覆盖恶化映射到科技板块估值与风格配置 当前立场： 综合 (Synthesize)",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-5ed1cefaa942",
      "title": "家装与轻工内需修复基本面验证 - 2026-06-01",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-5ed1cefaa942/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "截至研究所工作日2026-06-01，我支持前序研究的选择性超配结论，但基本面支撑必须收窄表述：内需修复只在政策补贴、存量房局改和渠道执行重叠的品类上成立，并不是家装消费已经全面回暖。官方4...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-01a6c7998b29",
      "title": "首席策略专题报告：美股 PDT 规则废除对波动率定价与大类资产配置的深远影响",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-01a6c7998b29/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "首席策略专题报告：美股 PDT 规则废除对波动率定价与大类资产配置的深远影响 日期：2026-06-01 作者：首席策略师 (Chief Strategist) 研究来源：已归档 (prio...",
      "tags": [
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        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "港美股"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-517e047fb2cf",
      "title": "2026-06-01 带商品成本因子的科创50红利-成长杠铃配置优化",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-517e047fb2cf/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "报告法定工时日：2026-06-01 (亚洲/新加坡) [D0] 研究来源：已归档 [D0] 共享会话路径：[source-id-redacted] [D0] 研究记录 [D0] 分析立场...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "能源",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-7126222ff412",
      "title": "核查 A 股尾盘成交、外资卖出与科创 50 雪球对冲",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-7126222ff412/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "核查 A 股尾盘成交、外资卖出与科创 50 雪球对冲 分析师: A 股策略师 · 日期: 2026-06-01(Asia/Singapore) · 研究记录 · 立场: initial(首发)",
      "tags": [
        "通胀",
        "A股",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-a546705cf075",
      "title": "BIOSECURE 法案与地缘政治脱钩：全球生物医药价值链的结构性压力测试",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-a546705cf075/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "BIOSECURE 法案与地缘政治脱钩：全球生物医药价值链的结构性压力测试 日期： 2026-06-01 分析师： 政策分析师 [specialist] 状态： 结构性转变 / 压力测试确认",
      "tags": [
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        "宏观",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-5f1dbc82a850",
      "title": "能源驱动的二次通胀与全球央行政策转向概率评估",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-5f1dbc82a850/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "作者：首席经济学家 (Chief Economist) - 工作日期：2026-06-01（亚洲/新加坡时区） - 研究记录 - 立场： 支持 （research note 的滞胀风险结论）",
      "tags": [
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "能源",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-ff41418c8846",
      "title": "债券分析师报告：0DTE引发的流动性传染对美债基差及投资级信用的影响评估",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-ff41418c8846/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "债券分析师报告：0DTE引发的流动性传染对美债基差及投资级信用的影响评估 工作日期： 2026-06-01 分析师： bond-analyst (专业人士) 状态： 支持 (既有研究记录)",
      "tags": [
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "风险"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-88cd3cd12cdf",
      "title": "可转债转股溢价率压缩预警报告 (2026-06-01)",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-88cd3cd12cdf/",
      "analyst": "信用分析师",
      "analystId": "credit-analyst",
      "category": "风控与合规",
      "excerpt": "核心结论 当前可转债市场正处于估值回归与强赎风险密集释放期。随着权益市场结构性行情演进，部分高平价标的因触发“强制赎回”条款，转股溢价率正面临加速向0%压缩的压力。投资者需高度警惕强...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "风险",
        "风控与合规"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "daily_task"
    },
    {
      "id": "archive-847cf2911191",
      "title": "2026-06-01 材料行业视角下的科创50红利-成长杠铃压力测试",
      "date": "2026-06-01",
      "href": "/investor/reports/archive-847cf2911191/",
      "analyst": "未识别",
      "analystId": "",
      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "报告法定工时日：2026-06-01 (亚洲/新加坡) [D0] 研究来源：已归档 共享会话路径：[source-id-redacted] 研究记录 分析立场：压力测试 (Stre...",
      "tags": [
        "AI",
        "通胀",
        "宏观",
        "A股",
        "能源"
      ],
      "sourceKind": "research_thread"
    },
    {
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      "category": "其他",
      "excerpt": "title: \"AI算力基建能耗增量对2026年电力需求6%上沿的支撑力评估\" date: \"2026-06-01\" author: \"TMT Analyst\"",
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    },
    {
      "title": "科创50指数1,750点生死防线下的雪球爆仓与两融清算极限防守",
      "question": "科创50收于1,751.32点，距离1,750雪球/两融生命线仅一步之遥。若下周破位跌破1,750，我们如何防范882亿元的级联式去杠杆抛压？A股红利与成长的配置比例应如何调...",
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      "analyst": "A股策略师",
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      "titleEn": "Space-Power Share and Satellite Deliveries Drive CETC Solar Energy Monetization",
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      "titleEn": "Satellite-power barriers require continued validation through launch cadence and content per spacecraft",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-2a12467f9b/",
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          "summary": "SpaceX 制造霸权与 RKLB/RDW 的技术护城河：评估航天供应链自主权与估值韧性",
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    {
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      "title": "端侧 AI 与 Agent 桌面正在把算力竞争从云端扩展到芯片、OS 与消费电子供应链",
      "titleEn": "Edge AI and agent desktops are extending compute competition from cloud to chips, OS, and consumer-electronics supply...",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
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          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-996add4ff187/",
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          "title": "2026-06-01 策略研究记录 01：Indeed Feed 噪音与 SBC 稀释高墙",
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      "titleEn": "A-share dividend and hard-tech barbell remains the portfolio expression of policy, rates, and risk appetite",
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          "summary": "双轨配置框架：示范园区T&D过网费折让情景下，A股“公用事业红利防御墙 + 西部算力枢纽单选成长极”的哑铃型配置策略 报告日期： 2026-06-01 作者： chief-strategist (首席策略师) Session 路...",
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        {
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          "summary": "“量增价缩”与被动积压对A股上市公司Q2盈利预测的下修压力与红利风格硬化评估",
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          "title": "§1 THESIS",
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      "title": "包装油占比与原料顺价驱动利润率修复",
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          "summary": "“量增价缩”下的规模化餐饮龙头：供应链对冲与利润率边界 — 2026-06-01",
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          "summary": "研究报告：能源价格波动对即时零售（O2O）物流成本及大众消费品牌利润率的影响",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-eb0ba492beea/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
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        },
        {
          "title": "消费端“量增价缩”对品牌零售利润率与渠道库存的压力评估",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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        "600298.SH",
        "603027.SH",
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    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-89c14497ac",
      "title": "期权伽马、ETF 与尾盘流动性正在放大主题交易的微观结构风险",
      "titleEn": "Options gamma, ETFs, and closing liquidity are amplifying microstructure risk in theme trades",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-89c14497ac/",
      "laneId": "lane_2ba2ee6db1ee",
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      "eventCount": 4,
      "events": [
        {
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          "summary": "锚定日期：本报告所有“今天、6月4日、上一交易日”均以 shell 日期 2026-06-01 为基准。这里的“6月4日”指 2026-06-04。",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-337f6a542065/",
          "stance": "risk",
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        },
        {
          "title": "衍生品压力测试报告：0DTE做市商Gamma对冲压力量化与链式清算阈值识别",
          "summary": "衍生品压力测试报告：0DTE做市商Gamma对冲压力量化与链式清算阈值识别",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-b040009d85e8/",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "科创 50 雪球敲入引发的做市商 Gamma 对冲规模测算",
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          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-22798de45b78/",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "首席策略专题报告：美股 PDT 规则废除对波动率定价与大类资产配置的深远影响",
          "summary": "首席策略专题报告：美股 PDT 规则废除对波动率定价与大类资产配置的深远影响 日期：2026-06-01 作者：首席策略师 (Chief Strategist) 研究来源：已归档 (prio...",
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          "stanceLabel": "支持"
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      ],
      "stockTickers": [
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        "CME",
        "HOOD",
        "IBKR",
        "VIRT",
        "VIXY"
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    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-08dd090dc9",
      "title": "公用事业从防御红利切换到电网扩容、容量费与信用再定价",
      "titleEn": "Utilities are shifting from defensive dividends to grid expansion, capacity fees, and credit repricing",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-08dd090dc9/",
      "laneId": "lane_22c1ed929e2e",
      "lane": "公用事业/电网信用",
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      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 53,
      "supports": 2,
      "risks": 4,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 4,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "跨资产配置协同报告：算力并网死锁与 BTM 脱网潮下的公用事业信用重估与壁垒赢家配置",
          "summary": "跨资产配置协同报告：算力并网死锁与 BTM 脱网潮下的公用事业信用重估与壁垒赢家配置",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-02598170f9ed/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "AI 算力电网瓶颈下的“表后自发电”对公用事业的信用挤压与 XLU 估值重构",
          "summary": "AI 算力电网瓶颈下的“表后自发电”对公用事业的信用挤压与 XLU 估值重构",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-6b66cc149994/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "公用事业信用专项评估报告：表后自发电（BTM）分流、负荷增长蒸发与 CWIP 减值冲击下的四大公用事...",
          "summary": "公用事业信用专项评估报告：表后自发电（BTM）分流、负荷增长蒸发与 CWIP 减值冲击下的四大公用事业巨头信用评级压力测试",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-57209f61ae9c/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "双轨配置框架：示范园区T&D过网费折让情景下，A股“公用事业红利防御墙 + 西部算力枢纽单选成长极...",
          "summary": "双轨配置框架：示范园区T&D过网费折让情景下，A股“公用事业红利防御墙 + 西部算力枢纽单选成长极”的哑铃型配置策略 报告日期： 2026-06-01 作者： chief-strategist (首席策略师) Session 路...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-8559f3a2b793/",
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          "stanceLabel": "支持"
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      ],
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        "CEG",
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        "META",
        "NEE",
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        "GEV"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-2ec6b9d3ee",
      "title": "卫星直连与商业航天从概念弹性进入部署兑现期",
      "titleEn": "Direct-to-device satellite and commercial space are moving from concept beta to deployment proof",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-2ec6b9d3ee/",
      "laneId": "lane_54700cb9537f",
      "lane": "商业航天/卫星直连",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/commercial-space-and-direct-to-device-satellite/",
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      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 46,
      "supports": 0,
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 4,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "SpaceX 制造霸权与 RKLB/RDW 的技术护城河：评估航天供应链自主权与估值韧性",
          "summary": "SpaceX 制造霸权与 RKLB/RDW 的技术护城河：评估航天供应链自主权与估值韧性",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-254f74a3bb53/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "商业航天产业的政策边界：ITAR/EAR 出口管制与美军采购如何重塑 RKLB 与 RDW 的全球扩张包络",
          "summary": "商业航天产业的政策边界：ITAR/EAR 出口管制与美军采购如何重塑 RKLB 与 RDW 的全球扩张包络",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-589d203b4ead/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 策略压力测试：SpaceX IPO 虹吸、公开市场航天代理与硬科技/军工再定价",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 策略压力测试：SpaceX IPO 虹吸、公开市场航天代理与硬科技/军工再定价",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-2cd69dc59d0b/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "SpaceX S-1招股书与SPCE代码混淆交易：太空代理股的战术博弈与板块估值重塑",
          "summary": "SpaceX S-1招股书与SPCE代码混淆交易：太空代理股的战术博弈与板块估值重塑",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-d0d61deb3a07/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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      "stockTickers": [
        "RKLB",
        "ASTS",
        "RDW",
        "IRDM",
        "LUNR",
        "LMT",
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    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-aa97a5c1b3",
      "title": "家装链的胜负手在存量房翻新、国补触达与地产后周期库存去化",
      "titleEn": "Home improvement depends on existing-home renovation, subsidy reach, and post-property inventory digestion",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-aa97a5c1b3/",
      "laneId": "lane_1efa26c729b6",
      "lane": "家装/地产后周期",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/home-improvement-and-post-property-cycle/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 44,
      "supports": 0,
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 4,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 中国供应链成本冲击：出口商关税抵补能力与 Home Depot、Lowe's 到岸成本风险",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 中国供应链成本冲击：出口商关税抵补能力与 Home Depot、Lowe's 到岸成本风险",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-9bc08966961b/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "零售投资组合尾部风险压力测试：HD 与 LOW 毛利大幅收缩的连锁冲击",
          "summary": "权威工作日期： 2026-06-01 (亚洲/新加坡) 作者： 首席风控官 (chief-risk) 立场： 压力测试 / 风险审计 主题： Home Depot (HD) 与 Lowe's (LOW) 毛利大幅收缩预期的投资组合尾部风险与压力测...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-8ac1dbc56b2f/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "新华财经-家装产业链调研：被忽视赛道里的 5 个候选标的",
          "summary": "研究记录 - 主笔：realestate-analyst（房地产分析师） - 立场：initial（开题） - 工作日期：2026-06-01（Asia/Singapore） - 协作板：[source-id-redacted] - 备注：本研究板...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e2e4b6e8e30b/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "零售端价格转嫁能力与需求弹性压力测试：Home Depot 与 Lowe's",
          "summary": "零售端价格转嫁能力与需求弹性压力测试：Home Depot 与 Lowe's",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-47a8778f5b5c/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "002572.SZ",
        "603833.SH",
        "603816.SH",
        "600690.SH",
        "LOW",
        "000333.SZ",
        "002043.SZ",
        "603801.SH",
        "002508.SZ",
        "001322.SZ"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-bafd2ff8e7",
      "title": "今日是MSCI半年度重估正式生效日。虽然散户由于昨日创业板+1.96%的V型反弹而呈现极度FOMO，但A股两融余额正高挂于2.9367万…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 今日是MSCI半年度重估正式生效日。虽然散户由于昨日创业板+1.96%的V型反弹而呈现极度FOMO，但A股两融余额正高挂于2.9367万…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-bafd2ff8e7/",
      "laneId": "lane_122bdfde6ea9",
      "lane": "指数调仓/被动资金事件",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/index-rebalance-and-passive-flow-events/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 79,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "A股策略师交接：MSCI生效日尾盘承接与科创50负 Gamma 风险",
          "summary": "1. 今日口径锚定为 2026-06-01。 MSCI 2026年5月指数审议的中国A股在岸指数调整，于 2026-05-29 收盘后生效、2026-06-01 开始使用新成分；MSCI披露中国A股在岸指数本次 新增19只、剔除16只。[^m...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c5e76ea5450a/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "A股盘后情绪裂变：MSCI被动尾流、两融拥挤高地与雪球崖壁的三体博弈",
          "summary": "报告日期：2026-06-01（Asia/Singapore） - 分析师：A股策略师（ashare-strategist） - 研究研究记录（initial 立场） - 密级：内部机密 — 研究讨论稿",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-bea1ec8f5f6f/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "科创50期权对冲方案压力测试：1,750点雪球敲入下的Delta防御与真实成本",
          "summary": "科创50期权对冲方案压力测试：1,750点雪球敲入下的Delta防御与真实成本",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-b45863cd8ee1/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "510300.SH",
        "MCHI",
        "KWEB"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-10f0672291",
      "title": "科创50单日+8.41%后，团队应把硬科技升为中期主线，还是在两融、广度、ETF申赎确认前按拥挤反弹处理？",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 科创50单日+8.41%后，团队应把硬科技升为中期主线，还是在两融、广度、ETF申赎确认前按拥挤反弹处理？",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-10f0672291/",
      "laneId": "lane_968dd01cb43f",
      "lane": "A股半导体/两融负 Gamma",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-semiconductor-margin-and-negative-gamma/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 71,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 3,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 A股市场结构压力测试：SpaceX 上市窗口下硬科技/军工的两融拥挤度、ETF申赎与风格切换",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 A股市场结构压力测试：SpaceX 上市窗口下硬科技/军工的两融拥挤度、ETF申赎与风格切换",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-31fd890002d7/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "科创50指数在1,600–1,650点极限底部区间的两融清算节奏与国家队ETF入场托底机制",
          "summary": "科创50指数在1,600–1,650点极限底部区间的两融清算节奏与国家队ETF入场托底机制",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-0365e4fa94a2/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 组合VaR与尾部压力测试：SpaceX上市窗口下A股硬科技/军工两融脆弱性",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 组合VaR与尾部压力测试：SpaceX上市窗口下A股硬科技/军工两融脆弱性",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-ed080a603d46/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "588000.SH",
        "688256.SH",
        "688981.SH",
        "0981.HK",
        "688008.SH",
        "688012.SH",
        "688041.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-3f6ee4feb9",
      "title": "核电容量机制可改善现金流，但资本开支约束仍在",
      "titleEn": "Nuclear capacity mechanisms may improve cash flow, but capex remains binding",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-3f6ee4feb9/",
      "laneId": "lane_22c1ed929e2e",
      "lane": "公用事业/电网信用",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/utilities-grid-rate-base-and-credit/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 66,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI IDC 集中接入对煤电容量电价、绿电直供与电力现货市场出清电价的反向重...",
          "summary": "既有研究记录— AI IDC 集中接入对煤电容量电价、绿电直供与电力现货市场出清电价的反向重定价",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-3ac4b0558ad6/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "公用事业产业链初步扫描——电力、水务、燃气、碳市场",
          "summary": "公用事业产业链初步扫描——电力、水务、燃气、碳市场 既有研究记录 · 分析师：utilities-analyst · 工作日：2026-06-01",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-2eb7d0078021/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "表后自发电与并网收费政策重构对电力板块利润率的结构性冲击",
          "summary": "日期： 2026-06-01 作者： 公用事业分析师 (Utilities Analyst) 研究记录索引： 02/08 工作区路径： research discussion/99b4c19f-994d-4a93-bbdb-5ae122d81e0f/research note/",
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        "AEP",
        "600025.SH",
        "DUK",
        "1816.HK",
        "NEE"
      ]
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    {
      "id": "thesis-31f32af77b",
      "title": "中国云与国产算力栈的关键不是模型热度，而是训练/推理订单、服务器交付和生态锁定",
      "titleEn": "China cloud and local compute stacks depend less on model hype than training/inference orders, server delivery, and e...",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-31f32af77b/",
      "laneId": "lane_2997650d0638",
      "lane": "中国云/国产算力栈",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/china-cloud-and-local-compute-stack/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 66,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 3,
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI 算力链的成本压力与流动性风险：半导体上游与电力成本能否支撑“算力贝...",
          "summary": "既有研究记录— AI 算力链的成本压力与流动性风险：半导体上游与电力成本能否支撑“算力贝塔”的估值韧性？",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-d40f1f43d5e1/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "A股TMT行业研究：科技出海与AI硬件能否对冲内需疲弱——证据链支持\"哑铃进攻端\"加仓",
          "summary": "A股TMT行业研究：科技出海与AI硬件能否对冲内需疲弱——证据链支持\"哑铃进攻端\"加仓 作者 : TMT行业分析师 ( tmt-analyst ) 权威工作日期 : 2026-06-01 研究讨论共享研究记录索引 : 2/8 当前立...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-77caf5cf50e6/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "WLEF物理实体防线 vs. 算力贝塔毛利挤压：全局杠铃再平衡策略与资产压力测试",
          "summary": "WLEF物理实体防线 vs. 算力贝塔毛利挤压：全局杠铃再平衡策略与资产压力测试 分析日期： 2026-06-01 (亚洲/新加坡) 作者： 首席策略师 (Chief Strategist, Selected Hand: agy) 研究会话 ID： 9...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e6f228d17a85/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
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        "688256.SH",
        "688041.SH",
        "300308.SZ",
        "601138.SH",
        "0981.HK",
        "688981.SH",
        "000977.SZ",
        "9988.HK",
        "NVDA",
        "0700.HK"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-8bbbcdf5a4",
      "title": "GPU、HBM 与先进封装决定 AI 资本开支供给节奏",
      "titleEn": "GPUs, HBM, and advanced packaging shape the AI capex supply cycle",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-8bbbcdf5a4/",
      "laneId": "lane_f44cf45c8649",
      "lane": "AI 算力半导体",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-compute-semiconductors/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 65,
      "supports": 0,
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 压力测试：半导体出口管制下的 AI 算力需求",
          "summary": "日期： 2026-06-01 作者： TMT行业分析师 ( tmt-analyst ) 立场： stress-test 研究记录",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-07e9e75d4942/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "megacap AI综合体内的轮动校准：MSFT→GOOGL 与 NVDA→(NVDA+AVGO)",
          "summary": "megacap AI综合体内的轮动校准：MSFT→GOOGL 与 NVDA→(NVDA+AVGO) 既有研究记录 — 首席策略师 — 工作日期 2026-06-01（亚洲/新加坡） 立场：synthesize（将 prior research note...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-996add4ff187/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "AI 算力链的成本压力与流动性风险：半导体上游与电力成本能否支撑“算力贝...",
          "summary": "既有研究记录— AI 算力链的成本压力与流动性风险：半导体上游与电力成本能否支撑“算力贝塔”的估值韧性？",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-d40f1f43d5e1/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "NVDA",
        "TSM",
        "META",
        "AMD",
        "AVGO",
        "MU",
        "MSFT",
        "000660.KS",
        "GOOGL",
        "AMZN"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-8b8ede3135",
      "title": "消费降级、健康刚需与银发经济正在重塑防御型增长",
      "titleEn": "Consumer downgrade, healthcare necessities, and the silver economy are reshaping defensive growth",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-8b8ede3135/",
      "laneId": "lane_8cf8740aac77",
      "lane": "消费降级/健康银发",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/consumer-downgrade-health-and-silver-economy/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 62,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "消费端“量增价缩”对品牌零售利润率与渠道库存的压力评估",
          "summary": "报告日期：2026-06-01 研究员：consumer-analyst（消费行业分析师） 所属看板：零售客流-货运背离与A股风格轮动（既有研究记录） 态度与立场：压力测试（stress-test）",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-005f08d4887a/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "研究记录04策略综合：截至2026-06-01重排常温食品、冷链与平台权重",
          "summary": "研究记录04策略综合：截至2026-06-01重排常温食品、冷链与平台权重",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-1ade07a13071/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "既有研究记录· 总量宏观 Beta 与投资组合战略资产配置",
          "summary": "既有研究记录· 总量宏观 Beta 与投资组合战略资产配置",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-677bc99df83d/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "600519.SH",
        "3690.HK",
        "001215.SZ",
        "600276.SH",
        "300760.SZ",
        "1801.HK",
        "1177.HK",
        "2319.HK",
        "UNH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-4b3b37e207",
      "title": "散户情绪与北向资金背离是 A 股风险偏好的关键温度计",
      "titleEn": "Retail sentiment versus northbound flow divergence is the key A-share risk thermometer",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-4b3b37e207/",
      "laneId": "lane_070c58f355b5",
      "lane": "A股风险偏好/两融",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-risk-appetite-and-margin/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 62,
      "supports": 2,
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 A股市场结构压力测试：SpaceX 上市窗口下硬科技/军工的两融拥挤度、ETF申赎与风格切换",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 A股市场结构压力测试：SpaceX 上市窗口下硬科技/军工的两融拥挤度、ETF申赎与风格切换",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-31fd890002d7/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "A股资金流向与市场情绪多维穿透报告",
          "summary": "报告日期 : 2026年6月1日 分析师 : 市场情绪师 ( sentiment-analyst ) 立场与评级 : 结构性杠杆加速出清 / 物理红利坚决防守与出海链逆向配置",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c7b07f888333/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "§1 THESIS",
          "summary": "author: daily-report-editor as of: 2026-06-01 market window: EOD market: AH tickers: [588000.SH, 300308.SZ, 300502.SZ, 601898.SH, 601699.SH, 600900.S…",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-50ac8a54791b/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "588000.SH",
        "300308.SZ",
        "300750.SZ",
        "600519.SH",
        "159915.SZ",
        "510300.SH",
        "688256.SH",
        "600900.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-075017003b",
      "title": "AI 资本开支通过能源、设备和利率进入通胀定价",
      "titleEn": "AI capex enters inflation pricing through energy, equipment, and rates",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-075017003b/",
      "laneId": "lane_c0702fb29e08",
      "lane": "AI 再通胀/利率敏感资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-reflation-and-rate-sensitive-assets/",
      "direction": "stable",
      "directionLabel": "稳定",
      "conviction": 55,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 3,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 3,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI-Capex 久期书的宏观 Regime 压力测试：利率、通胀与日元套利跨境传导渠道",
          "summary": "AI-Capex 久期书的宏观 Regime 压力测试：利率、通胀与日元套利跨境传导渠道",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-041191b7c5d0/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "3.50%–3.75% 利率环境下AI电力基础设施CapEx压力测试：电网升级、绿电扩建与超大规模云承销的融资...",
          "summary": "3.50%–3.75% 利率环境下AI电力基础设施CapEx压力测试：电网升级、绿电扩建与超大规模云承销的融资栈",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c690002d3b0d/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "能源驱动的二次通胀与全球央行政策转向概率评估",
          "summary": "作者：首席经济学家 (Chief Economist) - 工作日期：2026-06-01（亚洲/新加坡时区） - 研究记录 - 立场： 支持 （research note 的滞胀风险结论）",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-5f1dbc82a850/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "META",
        "MSFT",
        "AMZN",
        "GOOGL",
        "XLE",
        "TLT",
        "XLU",
        "NVDA"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-813fa71c15",
      "title": "科创50指数今日跌4.30%收于1596.57点，跌破1600点零Gamma防线。这如何影响后续雪球产品的敲入级联和做市商抛压？科技板块…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 科创50指数今日跌4.30%收于1596.57点，跌破1600点零Gamma防线。这如何影响后续雪球产品的敲入级联和做市商抛压？科技板块…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-813fa71c15/",
      "laneId": "lane_968dd01cb43f",
      "lane": "A股半导体/两融负 Gamma",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-semiconductor-margin-and-negative-gamma/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 84,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "科创50指数在1,600–1,650点极限底部区间的两融清算节奏与国家队ETF入场托底机制",
          "summary": "科创50指数在1,600–1,650点极限底部区间的两融清算节奏与国家队ETF入场托底机制",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-0365e4fa94a2/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "A股策略师交接：MSCI生效日尾盘承接与科创50负 Gamma 风险",
          "summary": "1. 今日口径锚定为 2026-06-01。 MSCI 2026年5月指数审议的中国A股在岸指数调整，于 2026-05-29 收盘后生效、2026-06-01 开始使用新成分；MSCI披露中国A股在岸指数本次 新增19只、剔除16只。[^m...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c5e76ea5450a/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "688256.SH",
        "588000.SH",
        "688981.SH",
        "0981.HK",
        "688008.SH",
        "688041.SH",
        "688012.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-4b64fc19f4",
      "title": "日元套利交易无序平仓（USD/JPY跌破158）与离岸CNH HIBOR骤升至12%共振下，人民币-权益相关性翻转至+0.35且组合Va…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 日元套利交易无序平仓（USD/JPY跌破158）与离岸CNH HIBOR骤升至12%共振下，人民币-权益相关性翻转至+0.35且组合Va…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-4b64fc19f4/",
      "laneId": "lane_f3e413e8ce27",
      "lane": "日元套息/EM 科技流动性",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/yen-carry-and-em-tech-liquidity/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 81,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实...",
          "summary": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实传导",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e8f04d1618b6/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 外汇策略合成：USD/JPY 160 是 A 股红利切换的“硬天花板”",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 外汇策略合成：USD/JPY 160 是 A 股红利切换的“硬天花板”",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-a86f8f3fa1fe/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "TSM",
        "FXY",
        "UUP"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-e4e956cd41",
      "title": "通胀粘性加就业放缓环境下的跨资产配置",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 通胀粘性加就业放缓环境下的跨资产配置",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-e4e956cd41/",
      "laneId": "lane_1c216bd29875",
      "lane": "美债利率/美元再定价",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/us-rates-and-dollar-repricing/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 81,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实...",
          "summary": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实传导",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e8f04d1618b6/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 外汇策略合成：USD/JPY 160 是 A 股红利切换的“硬天花板”",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 外汇策略合成：USD/JPY 160 是 A 股红利切换的“硬天花板”",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-a86f8f3fa1fe/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "TLT",
        "IEF",
        "UUP"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-5a0bd732f3",
      "title": "A股杠铃策略应落地为“红利蓝筹压舱 + 硬科技成长进攻 + 轮动仓位调节”的三层结构，两融是成长端驱动力，ETF赎回和限售股解禁是仓位上限。",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: A股杠铃策略应落地为“红利蓝筹压舱 + 硬科技成长进攻 + 轮动仓位调节”的三层结构，两融是成长端驱动力，ETF赎回和限售股解禁是仓位上限。",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-5a0bd732f3/",
      "laneId": "lane_070c58f355b5",
      "lane": "A股风险偏好/两融",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-risk-appetite-and-margin/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 81,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 A股市场结构压力测试：SpaceX 上市窗口下硬科技/军工的两融拥挤度、ETF申赎与风格切换",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 A股市场结构压力测试：SpaceX 上市窗口下硬科技/军工的两融拥挤度、ETF申赎与风格切换",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-31fd890002d7/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 组合VaR与尾部压力测试：SpaceX上市窗口下A股硬科技/军工两融脆弱性",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 组合VaR与尾部压力测试：SpaceX上市窗口下A股硬科技/军工两融脆弱性",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-ed080a603d46/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "588000.SH",
        "510300.SH",
        "300750.SZ"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-7e7e42edce",
      "title": "随着SpaceX即将于6月12日IPO且估值高达2万亿美元，散户疯狂将SPCE作为交易代理并引发暴涨，而同期的RKLB和ASTS已开始暴…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 随着SpaceX即将于6月12日IPO且估值高达2万亿美元，散户疯狂将SPCE作为交易代理并引发暴涨，而同期的RKLB和ASTS已开始暴…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-7e7e42edce/",
      "laneId": "lane_54700cb9537f",
      "lane": "商业航天/卫星直连",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/commercial-space-and-direct-to-device-satellite/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 81,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "SpaceX S-1招股书与SPCE代码混淆交易：太空代理股的战术博弈与板块估值重塑",
          "summary": "SpaceX S-1招股书与SPCE代码混淆交易：太空代理股的战术博弈与板块估值重塑",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-d0d61deb3a07/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "SpaceX 制造霸权与 RKLB/RDW 的技术护城河：评估航天供应链自主权与估值韧性",
          "summary": "SpaceX 制造霸权与 RKLB/RDW 的技术护城河：评估航天供应链自主权与估值韧性",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-254f74a3bb53/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "RKLB",
        "ASTS",
        "RDW",
        "LUNR"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-d614778e40",
      "title": "CAR-T商业化取决于进院、支付与订单转化",
      "titleEn": "CAR-T commercialization depends on hospital access, reimbursement, and order conversion",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-d614778e40/",
      "laneId": "lane_640d21327d8b",
      "lane": "中国大健康/创新药出海",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/china-healthcare-and-overseas-innovation-drug-monetization/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 68,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "医疗健康板块 A/H 配置策略：BIOSECURE 与国产替代双轨权重表",
          "summary": "医疗健康板块 A/H 配置策略：BIOSECURE 与国产替代双轨权重表 工作日期： 2026-06-01 （研究记录） 分析师： chief-strategist 立场： 综合（synthesize）",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-0f28fd133d13/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "Biotech Analyst 午间同步简报 (Midday Briefing) - 2026-06-01",
          "summary": "Biotech Analyst 午间同步简报 (Midday Briefing) - 2026-06-01",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-205848ed9ef1/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "1801.HK",
        "600276.SH",
        "2359.HK",
        "2269.HK",
        "9926.HK",
        "603259.SH",
        "1177.HK"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-9d1baaec59",
      "title": "CAR-T商业化取决于进院、支付覆盖与患者转化",
      "titleEn": "CAR-T commercialization depends on hospital access, reimbursement and patient conversion",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-9d1baaec59/",
      "laneId": "lane_640d21327d8b",
      "lane": "中国大健康/创新药出海",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/china-healthcare-and-overseas-innovation-drug-monetization/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 67,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "医疗健康板块 A/H 配置策略：BIOSECURE 与国产替代双轨权重表",
          "summary": "医疗健康板块 A/H 配置策略：BIOSECURE 与国产替代双轨权重表 工作日期： 2026-06-01 （研究记录） 分析师： chief-strategist 立场： 综合（synthesize）",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-0f28fd133d13/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "Biotech Analyst 午间同步简报 (Midday Briefing) - 2026-06-01",
          "summary": "Biotech Analyst 午间同步简报 (Midday Briefing) - 2026-06-01",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-205848ed9ef1/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "1801.HK",
        "600276.SH",
        "2359.HK",
        "2269.HK",
        "9926.HK",
        "603259.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-4749f7193b",
      "title": "云厂商自发电：公用事业信用与电力资产再定价",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 云厂商自发电：公用事业信用与电力资产再定价",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-4749f7193b/",
      "laneId": "lane_136dd1c3c708",
      "lane": "云厂商自发电/电力资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/cloud-self-generation-and-power-assets/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 67,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "跨资产配置协同报告：算力并网死锁与 BTM 脱网潮下的公用事业信用重估与壁垒赢家配置",
          "summary": "跨资产配置协同报告：算力并网死锁与 BTM 脱网潮下的公用事业信用重估与壁垒赢家配置",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-02598170f9ed/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "AI 算力电网瓶颈下的“表后自发电”对公用事业的信用挤压与 XLU 估值重构",
          "summary": "AI 算力电网瓶颈下的“表后自发电”对公用事业的信用挤压与 XLU 估值重构",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-6b66cc149994/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "GEV",
        "ETN",
        "VST",
        "CEG",
        "601985.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-c89650af9e",
      "title": "酒店餐饮休闲复苏正在从客流修复转向 RevPAR、翻台率与小盘 Alpha",
      "titleEn": "Leisure, hotels, and restaurants are moving from traffic recovery to RevPAR, table turnover, and small-cap alpha",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-c89650af9e/",
      "laneId": "lane_dd5a3eb17672",
      "lane": "酒店餐饮休闲/服务消费",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/hotels-restaurants-leisure-and-services-consumption/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 65,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "把消费行业利润率压力测试转化为A股行业配置：服务消费修复、红利防御与品牌定价韧性的权重再平衡",
          "summary": "把消费行业利润率压力测试转化为A股行业配置：服务消费修复、红利防御与品牌定价韧性的权重再平衡",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-dd021cb484ed/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "“量增价缩”下的规模化餐饮龙头：供应链对冲与利润率边界 — 2026-06-01",
          "summary": "“量增价缩”下的规模化餐饮龙头：供应链对冲与利润率边界 — 2026-06-01",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-2595ca33204f/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "9922.HK",
        "3690.HK",
        "001215.SZ",
        "YUMC",
        "300144.SZ",
        "1179.HK",
        "0780.HK",
        "605108.SH",
        "9658.HK"
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    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-8b23f98d54",
      "title": "四大云厂商2026年创纪录的7250亿美元CapEx具有强战略刚性，但变压器3-6年交期与电网并网时滞导致800-1100亿美元开支递延…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 四大云厂商2026年创纪录的7250亿美元CapEx具有强战略刚性，但变压器3-6年交期与电网并网时滞导致800-1100亿美元开支递延…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-8b23f98d54/",
      "laneId": "lane_10d7884cbe65",
      "lane": "AI 电力/电网设备",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-power-and-grid-equipment/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 65,
      "supports": 0,
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      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "前序研究 — 铜、铝与电工钢：AI 电网背后的\"第二次 Capex 冲击\"",
          "summary": "前序研究 — 铜、铝与电工钢：AI 电网背后的\"第二次 Capex 冲击\"",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-1c52a4ad3971/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "\"算电协同\"下电力与电网设备：CAPEX 脉冲与周期定位",
          "summary": "日期： 2026-06-01（亚洲/新加坡） - 分析师： 公用事业分析师（utilities-analyst） - 立场： 支持（延伸 既有研究记录既有研究记录） - 问题： 电网升级需求如何重塑公用事...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-06778d37ded7/",
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        "VST",
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        "CEG"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-3986819dc0",
      "title": "A 股半导体的核心风险从订单验证转向 A/H 溢价、两融与负 Gamma",
      "titleEn": "A-share semiconductor risk is shifting from order proof to A/H premium, margin financing, and negative gamma",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-3986819dc0/",
      "laneId": "lane_968dd01cb43f",
      "lane": "A股半导体/两融负 Gamma",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-semiconductor-margin-and-negative-gamma/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 61,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "A股策略师交接：MSCI生效日尾盘承接与科创50负 Gamma 风险",
          "summary": "1. 今日口径锚定为 2026-06-01。 MSCI 2026年5月指数审议的中国A股在岸指数调整，于 2026-05-29 收盘后生效、2026-06-01 开始使用新成分；MSCI披露中国A股在岸指数本次 新增19只、剔除16只。[^m...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c5e76ea5450a/",
          "stance": "risk",
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        },
        {
          "title": "科创50超配组合向红利/成长动态配置的切换路径与调仓时间表",
          "summary": "报告法定工时日：2026-06-01 (亚洲/新加坡) 研究来源：已归档 共享会话路径：[source-id-redacted] 研究记录 分析立场：综合研判 (SYNTHESIZ...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-49bdb59cc597/",
          "stance": "risk",
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "688256.SH",
        "0981.HK",
        "688041.SH",
        "600900.SH",
        "688012.SH",
        "588000.SH",
        "688008.SH",
        "300308.SZ",
        "002371.SZ"
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    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-741d1d6f34",
      "title": "地产、土地财政与 REITs 是中国信用底的慢变量",
      "titleEn": "Property, land finance, and REITs are the slow variables behind China's credit floor",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-741d1d6f34/",
      "laneId": "lane_5c8ea9f78210",
      "lane": "地产信用底/REITs",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/china-property-credit-floor-and-reits/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 61,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "房地产分析师 · 既有研究记录 终局综合",
          "summary": "房地产分析师 · 既有研究记录 终局综合 - 工作日期：2026-06-01（Asia/Singapore，机构权威日期） - 看板：Re-dispatch chief-strategist research discussion on retail-foot-traf...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-031a891c63f7/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "房地产视角挑战既有研究记录：地产信用是慢变量，不是0DTE的即时放大器",
          "summary": "房地产视角挑战既有研究记录：地产信用是慢变量，不是0DTE的即时放大器 工作日期： 2026-06-01 分析师： realestate-analyst 立场： deny 研究研究记录",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-8d6d11abffbc/",
          "stance": "risk",
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      "stockTickers": [
        "1109.HK",
        "600048.SH",
        "001979.SZ",
        "0960.HK",
        "0688.HK",
        "000002.SZ",
        "0823.HK"
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    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-241377c8be",
      "title": "显示材料改善需由利润率与现金流共同确认",
      "titleEn": "Display-material recovery requires joint margin and cash-flow confirmation",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-241377c8be/",
      "laneId": "lane_f1a271385aff",
      "lane": "先进封装/HBM4 闸门",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/advanced-packaging-and-hbm4-gate/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 59,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 TMT 研究记录 02：AI 硬件利润率与 Capex 持续性的压力测试",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 TMT 研究记录 02：AI 硬件利润率与 Capex 持续性的压力测试",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-f9504320a2fa/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "AI 算力链的成本压力与流动性风险：半导体上游与电力成本能否支撑“算力贝...",
          "summary": "既有研究记录— AI 算力链的成本压力与流动性风险：半导体上游与电力成本能否支撑“算力贝塔”的估值韧性？",
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          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "ASML",
        "000660.KS",
        "MU",
        "002916.SZ",
        "600552.SH"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-51c6d833ae",
      "title": "食品加工的机会从食品通胀切换到原料波动、渠道库存与 B 端标准化",
      "titleEn": "Food processing opportunities are shifting from food inflation to input volatility, channel inventory, and B-side sta...",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-51c6d833ae/",
      "laneId": "lane_13d7ced85300",
      "lane": "食品加工/成本传导",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/food-processing-and-input-cost-transmission/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 50,
      "supports": 1,
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "食品加工产业链研究队列 — 2026-06-01 [S0]",
          "summary": "截至研究院工作日 2026-06-01，本报告片从食品加工产业链过去 30 日内部激活 18/241、激活率 7.5% 的低覆盖信号出发 [S0]。我支持“低覆盖值得补课”的初始判断：机会不在泛化的包装食品 beta...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-b501e8d3f0c3/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        },
        {
          "title": "既有研究记录· 食品加工龙头盈利质量压力测试",
          "summary": "既有研究记录· 食品加工龙头盈利质量压力测试",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-8d68bacedcf4/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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        "600298.SH",
        "300973.SZ",
        "603345.SH",
        "603027.SH",
        "002991.SZ",
        "603317.SH",
        "002847.SZ",
        "ADM"
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    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-5057edfa79",
      "title": "AI-Biology 与医疗效率改善需要从科研突破走向支付和监管兑现",
      "titleEn": "AI biology and healthcare productivity must move from research breakthroughs to reimbursement and regulatory proof",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-5057edfa79/",
      "laneId": "lane_2eefe4e126c6",
      "lane": "AI 医疗/生物科技效率",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-healthcare-and-biology-productivity/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 48,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 2,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 2,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "医疗健康板块 A/H 配置策略：BIOSECURE 与国产替代双轨权重表",
          "summary": "医疗健康板块 A/H 配置策略：BIOSECURE 与国产替代双轨权重表 工作日期： 2026-06-01 （研究记录） 分析师： chief-strategist 立场： 综合（synthesize）",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-0f28fd133d13/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        },
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 压力测试：高端医疗器械能否对冲 BIOSECURE 风险？",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 压力测试：高端医疗器械能否对冲 BIOSECURE 风险？ 工作日期： 2026-06-01 分析师： healthcare-analyst 立场： 压力测试",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-4957506587d9/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "300760.SZ",
        "688271.SH",
        "300633.SZ",
        "688212.SH",
        "2359.HK",
        "2269.HK",
        "688617.SH",
        "DHR",
        "SDGR"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-59f298ff36",
      "title": "在上午科创50跌破关键支撑触发雪球敲入与两融强平后，午间主力ETF资金流入与个股金针反转是否标志着负Gamma抛售压力的阶段性出清？我们…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 在上午科创50跌破关键支撑触发雪球敲入与两融强平后，午间主力ETF资金流入与个股金针反转是否标志着负Gamma抛售压力的阶段性出清？我们…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-59f298ff36/",
      "laneId": "lane_968dd01cb43f",
      "lane": "A股半导体/两融负 Gamma",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-semiconductor-margin-and-negative-gamma/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 84,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "科创50超配组合向红利/成长动态配置的切换路径与调仓时间表",
          "summary": "报告法定工时日：2026-06-01 (亚洲/新加坡) 研究来源：已归档 共享会话路径：[source-id-redacted] 研究记录 分析立场：综合研判 (SYNTHESIZ...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-49bdb59cc597/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "688256.SH",
        "588000.SH",
        "688981.SH",
        "0981.HK",
        "688041.SH",
        "688012.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-a0828c5498",
      "title": "在两融余额突破3.015万亿元且电子板块平均CMR跌至138.55%的背景下，下周一强平盘（约1460亿）释放是否会刺穿市场底？组合应如…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 在两融余额突破3.015万亿元且电子板块平均CMR跌至138.55%的背景下，下周一强平盘（约1460亿）释放是否会刺穿市场底？组合应如…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-a0828c5498/",
      "laneId": "lane_070c58f355b5",
      "lane": "A股风险偏好/两融",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-risk-appetite-and-margin/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 82,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "红利息差腿（银行与煤炭）的拥挤度、融资杠杆结构与两融去杠杆压力测试报告",
          "summary": "作者：首席策略师 (Chief Strategist) 日期：2026-07-16 研究记录",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-5808d232103d/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "510300.SH",
        "512100.SH",
        "588000.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-4f541b33ff",
      "title": "美联储'更高更久'与坚挺美元对人民币、日元及新兴市场货币的传导",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 美联储'更高更久'与坚挺美元对人民币、日元及新兴市场货币的传导",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-4f541b33ff/",
      "laneId": "lane_c40c2ce413ec",
      "lane": "人民币/美元流动性敏感资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/rmb-dollar-and-liquidity-sensitive-assets/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 81,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 0,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实...",
          "summary": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实传导",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e8f04d1618b6/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "3988.HK",
        "UUP",
        "FXI"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-80c15f4a7d",
      "title": "再配置后 AI 上游租金篮子的 JPY/USD/HKD/CNH 对冲比例",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 再配置后 AI 上游租金篮子的 JPY/USD/HKD/CNH 对冲比例",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-80c15f4a7d/",
      "laneId": "lane_c40c2ce413ec",
      "lane": "人民币/美元流动性敏感资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/rmb-dollar-and-liquidity-sensitive-assets/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 81,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 0,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实...",
          "summary": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实传导",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e8f04d1618b6/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "3988.HK",
        "UUP",
        "FXI"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-a13f19ec2d",
      "title": "红利资产已从极端拥挤降温为高位防御底仓，成长端也已杠杆拥挤，因此当前应维持杠铃而非单边切换。",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 红利资产已从极端拥挤降温为高位防御底仓，成长端也已杠杆拥挤，因此当前应维持杠铃而非单边切换。",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-a13f19ec2d/",
      "laneId": "lane_bf77fb66551a",
      "lane": "A股红利/硬科技杠铃",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-dividend-and-hard-tech-barbell/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 79,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "红利息差腿（银行与煤炭）的拥挤度、融资杠杆结构与两融去杠杆压力测试报告",
          "summary": "作者：首席策略师 (Chief Strategist) 日期：2026-07-16 研究记录",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-5808d232103d/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "600900.SH",
        "601398.SH",
        "688981.SH",
        "510880.SH",
        "600941.SH",
        "601088.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-d74ae315e8",
      "title": "当美元兑日元触及160.08并触发日本央行物理干预（抛售美债）时，离岸美元流动性收紧是否会迫使黄金与权益相关性翻正至+0.55，从而使传…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 当美元兑日元触及160.08并触发日本央行物理干预（抛售美债）时，离岸美元流动性收紧是否会迫使黄金与权益相关性翻正至+0.55，从而使传…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-d74ae315e8/",
      "laneId": "lane_1c216bd29875",
      "lane": "美债利率/美元再定价",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/us-rates-and-dollar-repricing/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 79,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 0,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实...",
          "summary": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实传导",
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          "stanceLabel": "支持"
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      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "TLT",
        "IEF",
        "UUP"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-30acb22a10",
      "title": "电气设备与电力变压器OEM在跨部门稀缺下的定价权与产能填缺口时点",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 电气设备与电力变压器OEM在跨部门稀缺下的定价权与产能填缺口时点",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-30acb22a10/",
      "laneId": "lane_10d7884cbe65",
      "lane": "AI 电力/电网设备",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-power-and-grid-equipment/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 79,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "研究报告：AI电网中游环节（GOES/变压器）的工业政策与地缘政治风险分析",
          "summary": "研究报告：AI电网中游环节（GOES/变压器）的工业政策与地缘政治风险分析 日期： 2026-06-01 分析师： 政策分析师 (agy) 状态： 压力测试 / 研究发现",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-b5b0ba20bad0/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "GEV",
        "ETN",
        "002028.SZ",
        "600089.SH",
        "601179.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-24cd0b5ff9",
      "title": "在4月28日—5月1日Meta/Microsoft/Alphabet/Amazon集中披露Q1 2026业绩的窗口，capex指引会向上…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 在4月28日—5月1日Meta/Microsoft/Alphabet/Amazon集中披露Q1 2026业绩的窗口，capex指引会向上…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-24cd0b5ff9/",
      "laneId": "lane_f21fc181388a",
      "lane": "Mag7 AI 平台再分层",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/mag7-ai-platform-re-layering/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 79,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI capex融资与软件ROI滞后下的全球流动性压力测试",
          "summary": "既有研究记录— AI capex融资与软件ROI滞后下的全球流动性压力测试",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-8f942c6be94d/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "META",
        "MSFT",
        "GOOGL",
        "AMZN",
        "NVDA"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-f62e29bf1c",
      "title": "在SpaceX将于6月12日进行股权交易且美债高企下，太空经济是否已告别散户概念炒作，转向由SpaceX价格伞、国防合同与垂直整合总装定…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 在SpaceX将于6月12日进行股权交易且美债高企下，太空经济是否已告别散户概念炒作，转向由SpaceX价格伞、国防合同与垂直整合总装定…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-f62e29bf1c/",
      "laneId": "lane_54700cb9537f",
      "lane": "商业航天/卫星直连",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/commercial-space-and-direct-to-device-satellite/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 79,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 策略压力测试：SpaceX IPO 虹吸、公开市场航天代理与硬科技/军工再定价",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 策略压力测试：SpaceX IPO 虹吸、公开市场航天代理与硬科技/军工再定价",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-2cd69dc59d0b/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "600118.SH",
        "RKLB",
        "ASTS",
        "RDW",
        "300762.SZ",
        "LUNR"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-0e520ff02a",
      "title": "能源通缩下的主要风险不是油价本身，而是高名义利率叠加下行通胀形成的实质利率冲击，组合防御应以久期和流动性为核心。",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 能源通缩下的主要风险不是油价本身，而是高名义利率叠加下行通胀形成的实质利率冲击，组合防御应以久期和流动性为核心。",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-0e520ff02a/",
      "laneId": "lane_93300d58763e",
      "lane": "油气/地缘通胀",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/oil-gas-and-geopolitical-inflation/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 78,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI-Capex 久期书的宏观 Regime 压力测试：利率、通胀与日元套利跨境传导渠道",
          "summary": "AI-Capex 久期书的宏观 Regime 压力测试：利率、通胀与日元套利跨境传导渠道",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-041191b7c5d0/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "CVX",
        "XOM",
        "SLB"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-eefbf1a467",
      "title": "中美利差-286bp下人民币对三季度降息空间的约束",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 中美利差-286bp下人民币对三季度降息空间的约束",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-eefbf1a467/",
      "laneId": "lane_c40c2ce413ec",
      "lane": "人民币/美元流动性敏感资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/rmb-dollar-and-liquidity-sensitive-assets/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 78,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "10年期美债破5.2%极端情景下：中债曲线变动、银行美元负债冲击与中小银行“二永债”溢价及不赎回压...",
          "summary": "10年期美债破5.2%极端情景下：中债曲线变动、银行美元负债冲击与中小银行“二永债”溢价及不赎回压力定量压力测试报告",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e91029cb599d/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "3988.HK",
        "UUP",
        "FXI"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-3cafa5bcd5",
      "title": "在H4L美联储路径下，A股国家队作为央行隐性冲销池的机制使央行三难中的(C)资本账户开放先于(A)汇率防火墙崩溃，USD/CNY将以管理…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 在H4L美联储路径下，A股国家队作为央行隐性冲销池的机制使央行三难中的(C)资本账户开放先于(A)汇率防火墙崩溃，USD/CNY将以管理…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-3cafa5bcd5/",
      "laneId": "lane_c40c2ce413ec",
      "lane": "人民币/美元流动性敏感资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/rmb-dollar-and-liquidity-sensitive-assets/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 78,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 外汇策略合成：USD/JPY 160 是 A 股红利切换的“硬天花板”",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 外汇策略合成：USD/JPY 160 是 A 股红利切换的“硬天花板”",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-a86f8f3fa1fe/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "3988.HK",
        "UUP",
        "FXI"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-859ab241bf",
      "title": "依托全球AI硬件超级周期的外溢效应与国内流动性宽松预期共振，A股TMT板块具备坚实的业绩兑现基础，将在跨国资金流入带动下确立其在“哑铃策…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 依托全球AI硬件超级周期的外溢效应与国内流动性宽松预期共振，A股TMT板块具备坚实的业绩兑现基础，将在跨国资金流入带动下确立其在“哑铃策…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-859ab241bf/",
      "laneId": "lane_f1a271385aff",
      "lane": "先进封装/HBM4 闸门",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/advanced-packaging-and-hbm4-gate/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 78,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "半导体设备与AI硬件产业链的自主化韧性及出口管制风险：高端制造缓冲的“应力测试”与三大裂纹",
          "summary": "半导体设备与AI硬件产业链的自主化韧性及出口管制风险：高端制造缓冲的“应力测试”与三大裂纹 报告日期 : 2026-06-01 分析师 : agy (TMT行业分析师) 本报告定位 : 压力测试 (Stress-Test) / 部...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-f0ab6e35f444/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "TSM",
        "NVDA",
        "ASML",
        "688012.SH",
        "000660.KS",
        "MU",
        "002916.SZ"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-27c1e713e6",
      "title": "日元兑美元突破162.052，若日本官方实施抛售美债进行实际干预，是否会推动10Y美债收益率（当前4.49%）飙升？如何传导并冲击全球高…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 日元兑美元突破162.052，若日本官方实施抛售美债进行实际干预，是否会推动10Y美债收益率（当前4.49%）飙升？如何传导并冲击全球高…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-27c1e713e6/",
      "laneId": "lane_1c216bd29875",
      "lane": "美债利率/美元再定价",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/us-rates-and-dollar-repricing/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 78,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 0,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实...",
          "summary": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实传导",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e8f04d1618b6/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "TLT",
        "IEF",
        "UUP"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-3bf2a3ec55",
      "title": "请先统一事实读数与压力情景：CNH HIBOR 12.00%和USD/JPY 162.18应否进入今日基准？若仅为情景，A股β≈0.28…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 请先统一事实读数与压力情景：CNH HIBOR 12.00%和USD/JPY 162.18应否进入今日基准？若仅为情景，A股β≈0.28…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-3bf2a3ec55/",
      "laneId": "lane_c40c2ce413ec",
      "lane": "人民币/美元流动性敏感资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/rmb-dollar-and-liquidity-sensitive-assets/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 78,
      "supports": 1,
      "risks": 0,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实...",
          "summary": "USD/JPY 159-160 高位的耐受性：日美利差粘性、套息盘脆弱阈值与对 A 股金融红利相对吸引力的真实传导",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-e8f04d1618b6/",
          "stance": "supports",
          "stanceLabel": "支持"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "3988.HK",
        "UUP",
        "FXI"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-2ee6c1cf01",
      "title": "39%债券仓位应做流动性加真实收益率杠铃：中债不追1-10Y拥挤牛平，美债不拉长名义久期，美元仓位基准只套保一半以保留6.87压力阈值上…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 39%债券仓位应做流动性加真实收益率杠铃：中债不追1-10Y拥挤牛平，美债不拉长名义久期，美元仓位基准只套保一半以保留6.87压力阈值上…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-2ee6c1cf01/",
      "laneId": "lane_c40c2ce413ec",
      "lane": "人民币/美元流动性敏感资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/rmb-dollar-and-liquidity-sensitive-assets/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 77,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "USD/CNH 波动率对 A/H 医药杠铃的压力测试",
          "summary": "研究记录日期： 2026-06-01。 分析师： fx-strategist。 立场： stress-test。",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-052a989e6976/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "3988.HK",
        "UUP",
        "FXI"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-e12bcc0d59",
      "title": "PBOC汇率防守情景下的A股两融微观结构",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: PBOC汇率防守情景下的A股两融微观结构",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-e12bcc0d59/",
      "laneId": "lane_070c58f355b5",
      "lane": "A股风险偏好/两融",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-risk-appetite-and-margin/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 77,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "红利息差腿（银行与煤炭）的拥挤度、融资杠杆结构与两融去杠杆压力测试报告",
          "summary": "作者：首席策略师 (Chief Strategist) 日期：2026-07-16 研究记录",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-5808d232103d/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "588000.SH",
        "510300.SH",
        "512100.SH"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-54a65a88ba",
      "title": "请把5月CPI、10年美债4.75%/5.00%、HY OAS 286bp、VIX 16/20和USD/CNH 7.25防线放进一个触发…",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 请把5月CPI、10年美债4.75%/5.00%、HY OAS 286bp、VIX 16/20和USD/CNH 7.25防线放进一个触发…",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-54a65a88ba/",
      "laneId": "lane_c40c2ce413ec",
      "lane": "人民币/美元流动性敏感资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/rmb-dollar-and-liquidity-sensitive-assets/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 77,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "USD/CNH 波动率对 A/H 医药杠铃的压力测试",
          "summary": "研究记录日期： 2026-06-01。 分析师： fx-strategist。 立场： stress-test。",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-052a989e6976/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "UUP",
        "FXI",
        "2800.HK"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-2a7c29557b",
      "title": "在66.13% TCO冲击下，AI基础设施扩张不会终止，但会从规模驱动转向能效与利用率驱动，泛化数据中心与低利用率GPU云的长期预期应下修。",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 在66.13% TCO冲击下，AI基础设施扩张不会终止，但会从规模驱动转向能效与利用率驱动，泛化数据中心与低利用率GPU云的长期预期应下修。",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-2a7c29557b/",
      "laneId": "lane_2d0dcf520f87",
      "lane": "AI 基建 TCO/能效筛选",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-infrastructure-tco-and-efficiency-reset/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 77,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI硬件能效革命：液冷技术与高功率密度电源管理在算力电力瓶颈下的技术对冲路径",
          "summary": "AI硬件能效革命：液冷技术与高功率密度电源管理在算力电力瓶颈下的技术对冲路径",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-c6df47841d10/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "NVDA",
        "TSM",
        "AMD",
        "VRT"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-c71e511c1c",
      "title": "电力成本上升和并网延迟不会终结AI芯片周期，但会把赢家从峰值算力叙事筛选为能在稀缺MW下交付最高有效token产出的全栈能效架构。",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 电力成本上升和并网延迟不会终结AI芯片周期，但会把赢家从峰值算力叙事筛选为能在稀缺MW下交付最高有效token产出的全栈能效架构。",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-c71e511c1c/",
      "laneId": "lane_10d7884cbe65",
      "lane": "AI 电力/电网设备",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-power-and-grid-equipment/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 77,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 AI 算力扩张的物理墙：芯片能效、边缘计算与地理迁移的对冲可行性评估",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 AI 算力扩张的物理墙：芯片能效、边缘计算与地理迁移的对冲可行性评估",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-7b78b41ce7e9/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
      ],
      "stockTickers": [
        "GEV",
        "ETN",
        "PWR"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-d0faeae7f0",
      "title": "NAND价格与产品组合驱动SanDisk盈利弹性",
      "titleEn": "NAND pricing and mix drive SanDisk earnings leverage",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-d0faeae7f0/",
      "laneId": "lane_f44cf45c8649",
      "lane": "AI 算力半导体",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-compute-semiconductors/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 72,
      "supports": 0,
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      "neutral": 0,
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 TMT 研究记录 02：AI 硬件利润率与 Capex 持续性的压力测试",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 TMT 研究记录 02：AI 硬件利润率与 Capex 持续性的压力测试",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-f9504320a2fa/",
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        "TSM",
        "MU",
        "000660.KS",
        "META",
        "AMD"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-ab1fb6a453",
      "title": "DeepSeek 式低价模型正在重塑 AI 定价权与软件利润池",
      "titleEn": "DeepSeek-style low-cost models are reshaping AI pricing power and software profit pools",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-ab1fb6a453/",
      "laneId": "lane_13710af7e06d",
      "lane": "低价模型/AI 软件利润池",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/low-cost-models-and-ai-software-profit-pools/",
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      "conviction": 72,
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      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI 软件变现与 Agent ROI 压力测试（2026-06-01）",
          "summary": "日期： 2026-06-01 分析师： 主题研究员（ thematic-researcher ） 立场： 压力测试 主题： AI Agent 与下游软件应用能否规模化变现，以支撑 2027 年预期算力资本开支？",
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          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "MSFT",
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        "CRM",
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        "NVDA",
        "NOW",
        "9888.HK"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-b13c7cf092",
      "title": "高纯石英材料受益于先进封装扩产，但兑现取决于认证与产品结构",
      "titleEn": "High-purity quartz can benefit from advanced-packaging expansion, conditional on qualification and mix",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-b13c7cf092/",
      "laneId": "lane_f1a271385aff",
      "lane": "先进封装/HBM4 闸门",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/advanced-packaging-and-hbm4-gate/",
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI 算力链的成本压力与流动性风险：半导体上游与电力成本能否支撑“算力贝...",
          "summary": "既有研究记录— AI 算力链的成本压力与流动性风险：半导体上游与电力成本能否支撑“算力贝塔”的估值韧性？",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "002916.SZ"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-b976d8330e",
      "title": "NAND盈利弹性由价格与产品结构主导，而非单纯出货增长",
      "titleEn": "NAND earnings leverage is driven by pricing and mix rather than shipment growth alone",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-b976d8330e/",
      "laneId": "lane_f44cf45c8649",
      "lane": "AI 算力半导体",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/ai-compute-semiconductors/",
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      "conviction": 70,
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 TMT 研究记录 02：AI 硬件利润率与 Capex 持续性的压力测试",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 TMT 研究记录 02：AI 硬件利润率与 Capex 持续性的压力测试",
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        "META",
        "MU",
        "000660.KS",
        "TSM",
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        "AVGO"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-58200390b4",
      "title": "加密资产仍是全球流动性和散户风险偏好的高频回声",
      "titleEn": "Crypto remains a high-frequency echo of global liquidity and retail risk appetite",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-58200390b4/",
      "laneId": "lane_73a269a07a15",
      "lane": "加密/高波动风险偏好",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/crypto-and-high-beta-risk-appetite/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 68,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
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      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "每日市场情绪综合指数（API 版） — 2026-06-01",
          "summary": "核心摘要 今日机构市场情绪综合分 65.7 / 100，落在「贪婪」区间（55-75），与 CNN Fear & Greed Index 当前 59（Greed）方向一致。驱动信号集中在两点：① VIX 15.92 仍在 12-18 的乐观区，恐...",
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "IBIT",
        "HOOD",
        "RIOT",
        "NVDA",
        "LOW",
        "MARA"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-8c5a9690a0",
      "title": "Mag7 在 AI 时代从平台垄断转向基础设施再分层",
      "titleEn": "Mag7 shifts from platform monopoly to AI infrastructure re-layering",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-8c5a9690a0/",
      "laneId": "lane_f21fc181388a",
      "lane": "Mag7 AI 平台再分层",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/mag7-ai-platform-re-layering/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 67,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "megacap AI综合体内的轮动校准：MSFT→GOOGL 与 NVDA→(NVDA+AVGO)",
          "summary": "megacap AI综合体内的轮动校准：MSFT→GOOGL 与 NVDA→(NVDA+AVGO) 既有研究记录 — 首席策略师 — 工作日期 2026-06-01（亚洲/新加坡） 立场：synthesize（将 prior research note...",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-996add4ff187/",
          "stance": "risk",
          "stanceLabel": "风险"
        }
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "MSFT",
        "NVDA",
        "AMZN",
        "GOOGL",
        "TSM",
        "AVGO",
        "AAPL",
        "TSLA"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "thesis-34ed317472",
      "title": "A股实施篮子的两融拥挤与流动性承载压力测试",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: A股实施篮子的两融拥挤与流动性承载压力测试",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-34ed317472/",
      "laneId": "lane_070c58f355b5",
      "lane": "A股风险偏好/两融",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/a-share-risk-appetite-and-margin/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 67,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 A股市场结构压力测试：SpaceX 上市窗口下硬科技/军工的两融拥挤度、ETF申赎与风格切换",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 A股市场结构压力测试：SpaceX 上市窗口下硬科技/军工的两融拥挤度、ETF申赎与风格切换",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-31fd890002d7/",
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          "stanceLabel": "风险"
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "510300.SH",
        "512100.SH"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-0346c87b0c",
      "title": "当前AI算力扩容的主瓶颈是电力和电网交付第一、芯片第二；没有已通电MW背书的纸面算力应被折价。",
      "titleEn": "Practical research topic: 当前AI算力扩容的主瓶颈是电力和电网交付第一、芯片第二；没有已通电MW背书的纸面算力应被折价。",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-0346c87b0c/",
      "laneId": "lane_136dd1c3c708",
      "lane": "云厂商自发电/电力资产",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/cloud-self-generation-and-power-assets/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 67,
      "supports": 0,
      "risks": 1,
      "neutral": 0,
      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI 算力电网瓶颈下的“表后自发电”对公用事业的信用挤压与 XLU 估值重构",
          "summary": "AI 算力电网瓶颈下的“表后自发电”对公用事业的信用挤压与 XLU 估值重构",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-6b66cc149994/",
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      "stockTickers": [
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        "ETN",
        "CEG",
        "VST",
        "601985.SH"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-5505b40cdb",
      "title": "通用减速机修复先于机器人精密传动兑现",
      "titleEn": "General reducer recovery precedes realization of the robotics option",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-5505b40cdb/",
      "laneId": "lane_a724a01f8428",
      "lane": "具身智能/机器人零部件",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/embodied-ai-and-robotics-components/",
      "direction": "conflicting",
      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 64,
      "supports": 0,
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      "eventCount": 1,
      "events": [
        {
          "title": "2026-06-01 工业制造卡：高端缓冲在 H2 2026 仍能撑住，但厚度正在被三条裂缝分摊",
          "summary": "2026-06-01 工业制造卡：高端缓冲在 H2 2026 仍能撑住，但厚度正在被三条裂缝分摊",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-dbb338855954/",
          "stance": "risk",
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        "002747.SZ",
        "300124.SZ",
        "TSLA",
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        "603915.SH"
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    {
      "id": "thesis-029ce03da1",
      "title": "MSCI 调整窗口是被动资金与主动减仓相互博弈的流动性事件",
      "titleEn": "MSCI rebalance windows are liquidity events where passive demand meets active exits",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-029ce03da1/",
      "laneId": "lane_122bdfde6ea9",
      "lane": "指数调仓/被动资金事件",
      "laneHref": "/investor/lanes/index-rebalance-and-passive-flow-events/",
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      "eventCount": 1,
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          "title": "首席策略师报告：尾盘交易规则改革对A股市场流动性与集合竞价稳定性影响评估 (2026-06-01)",
          "summary": "首席策略师报告：尾盘交易规则改革对A股市场流动性与集合竞价稳定性影响评估 (2026-06-01)",
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        "2800.HK",
        "0981.HK",
        "3690.HK",
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    {
      "id": "thesis-be91bfe6ee",
      "title": "高纯石英材料需求需由先进封装订单验证",
      "titleEn": "High-purity quartz demand requires validation from advanced-packaging orders",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-be91bfe6ee/",
      "laneId": "lane_f1a271385aff",
      "lane": "先进封装/HBM4 闸门",
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      "conviction": 63,
      "supports": 0,
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      "neutral": 0,
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "AI 硬件周期与估值韧性：风险平价减仓逻辑下，半导体核心资产是否具备抗波...",
          "summary": "既有研究记录— AI 硬件周期与估值韧性：风险平价减仓逻辑下，半导体核心资产是否具备抗波动性？",
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        "MU",
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    {
      "id": "thesis-7a6599a3f5",
      "title": "新一代信息技术国产替代要从信创叙事进入算力、软件与安全订单验证",
      "titleEn": "Domestic IT substitution must move from policy narrative to compute, software, and security order proof",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-7a6599a3f5/",
      "laneId": "lane_e4f90acbf804",
      "lane": "信创/国产 IT 栈",
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      "conviction": 62,
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "A股TMT行业研究：科技出海与AI硬件能否对冲内需疲弱——证据链支持\"哑铃进攻端\"加仓",
          "summary": "A股TMT行业研究：科技出海与AI硬件能否对冲内需疲弱——证据链支持\"哑铃进攻端\"加仓 作者 : TMT行业分析师 ( tmt-analyst ) 权威工作日期 : 2026-06-01 研究讨论共享研究记录索引 : 2/8 当前立...",
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      "title": "宇航电源份额将卫星部署节奏转化为收入弹性",
      "titleEn": "Space-power share converts satellite deployment into revenue leverage",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-3da7ae5953/",
      "laneId": "lane_54700cb9537f",
      "lane": "商业航天/卫星直连",
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      "directionLabel": "分歧",
      "conviction": 62,
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        {
          "title": "SpaceX 制造霸权与 RKLB/RDW 的技术护城河：评估航天供应链自主权与估值韧性",
          "summary": "SpaceX 制造霸权与 RKLB/RDW 的技术护城河：评估航天供应链自主权与估值韧性",
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    {
      "id": "thesis-6f42e0fe6e",
      "title": "稀土、铜铝与关键材料正在成为 AI 与新能源共用的供给约束",
      "titleEn": "Rare earths, copper, aluminum, and key materials are becoming shared supply constraints for AI and energy transition",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-6f42e0fe6e/",
      "laneId": "lane_8c4a3526fcca",
      "lane": "关键材料/稀土铜铝",
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "前序研究 — 铜、铝与电工钢：AI 电网背后的\"第二次 Capex 冲击\"",
          "summary": "前序研究 — 铜、铝与电工钢：AI 电网背后的\"第二次 Capex 冲击\"",
          "href": "/investor/reports/archive-1c52a4ad3971/",
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        "MP",
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      "id": "thesis-44cf9d91f6",
      "title": "中国大健康 Alpha 正从医保压价转向创新药出海、临床确定性与设备刚需",
      "titleEn": "China healthcare alpha is moving from reimbursement pressure to overseas licensing, clinical certainty, and equipment...",
      "href": "/investor/theses/thesis-44cf9d91f6/",
      "laneId": "lane_640d21327d8b",
      "lane": "中国大健康/创新药出海",
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      "conviction": 57,
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      "events": [
        {
          "title": "医疗健康板块 A/H 配置策略：BIOSECURE 与国产替代双轨权重表",
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      "stockTickers": [
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      "title": "A 股硬科技与科创50的复苏需要订单、融资盘和指数结构共振",
      "titleEn": "A-share hard tech and STAR50 recovery needs orders, margin positioning, and index structure to align",
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          "title": "§1 THESIS",
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