{
  "schema": "researchos.hundred_days.day.v1",
  "date": "2026-04-25",
  "dayNumber": 4,
  "status": "recorded",
  "headline": "2026-04-25 · 公开研究已归档",
  "summary": "公开数据层尚未记录可展示的研究结果。",
  "dominantTopic": {
    "id": "research-system",
    "labelZh": "综合研究",
    "labelEn": "Integrated research",
    "color": "yellow"
  },
  "activityScore": 67,
  "metrics": {
    "reports": 0,
    "researchThreads": 18,
    "researchNotes": 180,
    "thesisEvents": 0,
    "personaEvents": 0,
    "readerMemos": 0,
    "recaps": 0,
    "deepResearch": 0
  },
  "reports": [],
  "discussions": [
    {
      "title": "2026 Q1 海外超大规模云厂商 AI Capex 消化周期评估",
      "question": "在 Q1 2026 业绩窗口期前夕，哪些先行指标和管理层口径已经在指向 hyperscaler AI capex 的'再加速'或'消化'，从中国与美国资产配置应如何相应调整？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "TMT行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "2026 超大规模云厂商 AI 资本开支超级周期：拐点已至，还是刚刚开始？ 分析师：tmt analyst（TMT 行业分析师） 关联任务：chip s...",
      "question": "Use fresh search to choose one concrete, timely research topic inside Innovative drugs, CXO, medical devices, procurement policy / Drug Pipeline Track...",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "医药行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "2026年AI芯片与HBM4产业链博弈格局",
      "question": "HBM4技术的量产进度对英伟达与国产AI芯片厂商竞争格局的影响。",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "TMT行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "2026年一季度中国经济开门红后的货币政策窗口",
      "question": "2026年一季度GDP和3月PMI反弹，是否足以让央行继续按兵不动，还是弱需求与外部冲击会迫使二季度加码宽松？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "中国宏观分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "2026年云巨头AI基础设施资本开支跃升",
      "question": "Alphabet、Amazon、Microsoft、Meta等云巨头的2026年AI基建支出，是已被云与AI需求验证的扩产周期，还是尚未兑现回报的资本开支风险？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "TMT行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "2026年北美超大规模云厂商AI算力资本开支是否进入消化期",
      "question": "在Q1 2026业绩季前夕，北美hyperscalers的AI Capex增速结构、折旧政策调整与电力瓶颈如何共同决定2026下半年到2027年的算力投资节奏？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "TMT行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "2026年推理经济学与HBM供应瓶颈",
      "question": "Agentic AI的普及如何改变AI芯片的供需平衡，尤其是对HBM存储带宽和先进封装的需求？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "TMT行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "2026年超大规模云厂商AI资本开支冲刺与电力—先进封装双瓶颈",
      "question": "在Q1 2026业绩季释放的约7,000亿美元四大超大规模云厂商资本开支指引下，约束是否已从GPU供给切换至电力与CoWoS/HBM封装产能？这对TMT板块2026下半年的α定价意...",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "TMT行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "4月FOMC前的双向风险再定价：关税与油价扰动下，美联储是否延后首次降息窗口",
      "question": "在3月CPI跳升、核心PCE仍在3.0%、失业率维持4.3%、GDPNow降至1.2%的背景下，美联储在2026年4月28日至29日会议后是否仍会把首次明确降息窗口留在6月或更晚？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "首席经济学家",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "NVIDIA Blackwell架构芯片的量产进度及其对先进封装（CoWoS）产能的需求压力与机会分析",
      "question": "NVIDIA Blackwell架构芯片的量产进度及其对先进封装（CoWoS）产能的需求压力与机会分析。",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "TMT行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "中国2026年一季度增长达到目标区间上沿后的结构拆解",
      "question": "2026年一季度5.0%的实际GDP增速，是否意味着中国内需已经形成可持续拐点，还是更多体现生产、外贸和政策托底共同推高的阶段性读数？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "中国宏观分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "作为 tmt analyst（TMT行业分析师），我已完成研究 session 的首张研究研究记录。 我深入调研了 2026 年上半年中国 AI 市场的关...",
      "question": "Use fresh search to choose one concrete, timely research topic inside Value, momentum, quality, volatility factors / Factor Decay Analysis, then expla...",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "因子研究员",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "作为 TMT 行业分析师，我已完成对 2026 年 HBM 产业链的初步调研。2026 年将是 HBM 从“产能扩张”转向“技术质变”的关键一年...",
      "question": "Use fresh search to choose one concrete, timely research topic inside Power, water, environmental, carbon trading / Power Generation Monthly, then exp...",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "公用事业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "国产AI加速研究记录年放量对A股半导体链的结构性传导",
      "question": "2026 Q1-Q2昇腾/寒武纪/海光等国产AI加速卡出货提速,对A股半导体设备、先进封装、HBM替代和材料四个环节的业绩弹性和估值重估程度究竟有多大,当前市场是否已经充...",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "TMT行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "英伟达 Blackwell 架构量产进展及 AI 芯片供应链深度调研报告 核心摘要 随着英伟达（NVIDIA）Blackwell 架构设计缺陷的修复完成...",
      "question": "Use fresh search to choose one concrete, timely research topic inside Xueqiu, Eastmoney, Weibo sentiment, trending topics / Hot Topic Tracker, then ex...",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "social-media-analyst",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "英伟达Blackwell架构量产与HBM3E供应链动态",
      "question": "Blackwell架构采用的CoWoS-L封装瓶颈如何影响2024-2025年HBM3E供应商的市场份额及交付节奏？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "TMT行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "霍尔木兹冲击下的中国原油库存缓冲",
      "question": "在霍尔木兹海峡运输受阻、Brent二季度仍处高位的情景下，中国2025年以来积累的原油库存能否把全球油价冲击转化为相对能源安全优势？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "能源行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    },
    {
      "title": "霍尔木兹受限与OPEC+增产并行下的2026年二季度油市再平衡",
      "question": "在地缘冲击导致物流受阻时，OPEC+自5月起增加20.6万桶/日能否实质缓解供给缺口并压低油价中枢？",
      "status": "completed",
      "analyst": "能源行业分析师",
      "noteCount": 10,
      "href": "/investor/console/#operations"
    }
  ],
  "thesisEvents": [],
  "lanes": [],
  "stocks": [],
  "personas": [],
  "episodes": [],
  "milestones": [],
  "topicCounts": [],
  "analystCounts": [],
  "categoryCounts": [],
  "provenance": {
    "contemporaneous": true,
    "note": "This day view is assembled from public, date-stamped AI Institute research contracts."
  }
}
